Utah vs Oregon Odds, Picks, Predictions (11/19/22)
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Utah visits Oregon this week after beating Stanford in a blow out last week. Oregon, on the other side, is coming off a very close upset loss to Washington last week. This game should be an interesting matchup for the Pac-12 pecking order. Let’s take a look at the odds and make some picks and predictions for this game!
Utah vs. Oregon Odds
Oregon is a 3-point home favorite against Utah and is at -155 on the money line. The over/under is also at 63. The spread being this low makes sense especially because while Bo Nix will probably play, he’s still uncertain and Utah is getting more and more healthy after getting hit with a few injuries. The over/under makes sense because both of these offenses are very good, but it should almost be higher because there’s high potential for a shootout here. This spread is worth keeping an eye on because it could move if Bo Nix is confirmed to play.
Utah vs. Oregon Prediction & Pick
The pick: Oregon -3
Oregon is almost unbeatable at home. They rarely lose at Autzen and the loss against Washington broke a streak of them winning 23 games in a row. The questions surrounding Bo Nix are warranted because he’s been awesome for the Ducks this year too. However, Oregon is just the better team and because of the situation, it’s highly doubtful that the Ducks are losing two games in a row at home. Oregon also has one of the best rushing offenses in the country thanks to Bucky Irving, Bo Nix, and a very good offensive line. The offense, overall, averages 42 points and 528 total yards a game for the year. The defense has talent, but they need to be better, especially with a Utah offense that’s also very good.
The Utah offense has been more reliable this year than the Utah defense, which is very different from how they usually are. The offense averages 40 points and 462 total yards a game this year. Cam Rising has been great at quarterback, while Tavion Thomas has been decent and just got back from injury too. This was supposed to be Utah’s year in the Pac-12, and they still can win the conference, but the question is just if Utah still has that fire to compete. It should be different for Oregon because while they are arguably in the same boat as Utah, they will have the home crowd to get them fired up. Take the Ducks here because while Utah is good, Oregon isn’t going to lose twice in a row at Autzen.
Utah vs. Oregon Key Matchups
Can Utah slow down Bo Nix? Can Oregon contain Cam Rising?
Bo Nix vs the Utah Secondary
Assuming Bo Nix plays, he should have a big bounce back game here. He has 2,775 passing yards, 24 passing touchdowns, five interceptions, and he has a 73% completion percentage on the year. Bo Nix has been incredibly efficient this year for the Oregon offense, and he’s even been talked about in the Heisman Trophy conversation. Utah allows 207 passing yards a game, which will be difficult for Bo Nix, especially with Clark Phillips in the secondary. Bo Nix is the key for Oregon the rest of the year and in this game he needs to have a good game for the Ducks to win.
Cam Rising vs the Oregon Secondary
Cam Rising has been great for Utah this year. He has 2,225 passing yards, 19 passing touchdowns, four interceptions, and he has a 66% completion percentage on the year too. Rising needs to be better since returning from his injury in order for Utah take that next step, especially, in this game. Rising has become the key for the Utah offense, especially because Tavion Thomas has been in and out of the lineup at running back. Oregon is not good against the pass and allows 290 passing yards a game. If Rising can’t take advantage against a bad Oregon pass defense then Utah is going to be in trouble in this game.