Virginia Tech is coming off a bye, but before lost a game to Miami, while NC State is also coming off a bye, and lost a game to Syracuse before. This game will be interesting because both are coming off losses before their bye weeks, so both need bounce back weeks. Let’s take a look at the odds and make some picks and predictions for this game!
Virginia Tech vs. NC State Odds
NC State is a 13.5-point home favorite and is also at -540 on the money line. The over/under is also set at 40. The biggest factors here are that NC State is at home and the fact that Virginia Tech just isn’t that good this year. They are in rebuilding mode and while NC State is beat up, this spread still makes sense. The over/under being at 40 also makes sense because both of these offenses have been very inconsistent this year. This line might move higher too in favor of the Wolfpack, so keep an eye on that.
Virginia Tech vs. NC State Prediction & Pick
The Pick: NC State -13.5
NC State covering is the best play in this game. The Wolfpack are clearly just the better team in this spot. The added bonus here is that they are also at home which will help them a lot, especially without their quarterback Devin Leary. The best thing in this game is NC State’s defense, which has been one of the best units in the ACC and one of the best in the entire country too. The best area on defense has been the linebacking corps for the Wolfpack, where Payton Wilson holds down the fort there. They are giving up 17 points and 311 total yards a game.
The offense should also be better equipped now since the bye with Jack Chambers at quarterback. The run game will be more of a focus now so Jordan Houston will be a big factor too. Virginia Tech, on the other hand, has not been good this year. They are in year one of new head coach, Brent Pry, and it shows that this is a rebuilding year. The defense has been okay, but the offense has been just a mess all year. The offense is averaging 19 points and 322 total yards a game, which is one of the worst in the ACC. NC State’s defense and it being a home game are the difference here, so take NC State to cover here.
Virginia Tech vs. NC State Key Matchups
Can Virginia Tech contain Jordan Houston on the ground?
Jordan Houston vs the Virginia Tech Front Seven
Jordan Houston all of a sudden becomes the focal point of the Wolfpack offense after the injury to Devin Leary. He has 76 carries, 304 rushing yards, and zero rushing touchdowns. His best game was against Florida State when he had 24 carries and 90 rushing yards. Jordan is the featured back, but they do utilize other running backs because they average 134 rushing yards a game. Virginia Tech gives up 134 rushing yards a game, and the most they gave up was 326 yards on the ground to Pitt where Israel Abanikanda had a career game. This the key in this game because NC State’s focus on offense will be run-heavy.
Grant Wells vs the NC State Secondary
Grant Wells has been inconsistent on the year and has had a roller coaster of a season so far to say the least. He has 1,439 passing yards, seven passing touchdowns, and seven interceptions. They’ve been asking him to do a lot in this passing offense and it just hasn’t worked out so far up to this point. He’s only hit over one passing touchdown once so far this season and it was against an FCS opponent. The Hokies average 215 passing yards a game and NC State gives up 188 passing yards a game, so this could be a bad matchup for Wells. If Wells isn’t effective, then expect this game to be over quick.