The Golden State Warriors (8-9) travel to face the Sacramento Kings (9-6) this Tuesday (11/28/23). Get Warriors vs. Kings moneyline and spread odds, as well as predictions, starting lineups, injuries, and key matchups below.
Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings Prediction
I am rolling with a same game parlay of Warriors over 112.5 points and De’Aaron Fox 25+ points.
Stephen Curry is decimating the NBA to the tune of 29.7 points on 48/44/93 shooting splits, including a 54.9 3PT% on catch and shoot threes. Sacramento lacks a relentless off-ball chaser that can fight through screens, and their point-of-attack defense won’t be able to slow the former Finals MVP. In addition, Draymond Green’s return injects much-needed playmaking into the offense, thus allowing Curry to dominate as a motion shooter.
Factor in Klay Thompson’s shot, and Golden State can shred a Sacramento defense that ranks 21st defending catch and shoot threes based on opponent shot quality (per ShotQuality). In addition, Sacramento is 25th defending cuts, which doesn’t bode well against a Warriors team that thrives utilizing backdoor cuts. Overall, Sacramento’s ineffective defense will struggle in all the wrong places, so a rejuvenated Golden State can brutally exploit them.
Meanwhile, Fox is averaging 29.9 points on 48/37/75 shooting splits. The All-NBA guard is a blur on the court, and his evolving three-point shot means opponents cannot stay a step back to gain time against a drive. He meets a Golden State perimeter defense that has been torn apart with ease all season. They are giving up the fourth most points per game to point guards, and their lack of rim protection will allow Fox to shine.
In summation, Golden State’s offense is in an excellent position here, and they only need to score 113 points. Like the Warriors, Fox also sits in a great spot, so he’s primed to smash 25 points.
Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings Prediction: SGP – De’Aaron Fox 25+ Points & Warriors Over 112.5 Points (-125 DK)
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Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings Best Odds
The Sacramento Kings are favored by a mere 1.5 points, so the books must be expecting a close contest. For Golden State’s +118 moneyline to be profitable in the long run, they need to win this game about 45.9 percent of the time.
Golden State Warriors Starting Lineup
Sacramento Kings Starting Lineup
Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings Injuries
Golden State’s rotation is completely healthy, while Sacramento will be without Keegan Murray and Alex Len.
Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings Key Matchups
Klay Thompson 3PT Shooting
To me, this parlay will come down to Klay Thompson. The sharpshooter is struggling mightily to start the year at 15 points per game on 40/36/87 shooting splits. Few players can get hotter than Thompson, but he’s also not afraid to end the night 2/12 from three. If he turns in an above average performance, then Golden State owns an excellent chance to reach 113 points. Otherwise, Thompson may shoot them out of contention.