Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Player Prop Search Tool
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Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Player Prop Picks
Which players will dominate in the Warriors vs. Thunder game?
Same Game Parlay: Stephen Curry 4+ 3PM & Draymond Green Over 0.5 3PM (-105 DK)
Although the Thunder own the third best Defensive Rating in the NBA, they struggle mightily to protect the three-point line. When adjusting for pace, Oklahoma City has given up the eighth most open plus wide open three-point attempts per game, the most corner attempts per game, and the third largest catch-and-shoot three-point frequency (per NBA.com).
Unfortunately for them, Stephen Curry is in town for the night. He leads the NBA at 11.8 attempts per game from deep, and he’s shooting a 42.9 3PT%. Curry has hit four threes in 17 of 19 games this season, and he has done so in his last 11 matchups against Oklahoma City. It would be shocking if Curry failed to hit this leg against a Thunder defense allowing the third most made threes per game to opposing point guards.
Meanwhile, Draymond Green possesses a 44.7 3PT% on about three attempts per game, including 53.8% from the corners. Green has made a three in 8 of 13 games this year, including a 2/4 performance in his lone matchup versus Oklahoma City. Although he isn’t exactly a reliable outside shooter, Green’s current efficiency and volume bodes well for him here against the Thunder.
This same game parlay needs to hit roughly 51.3 percent of the time for the bet to have a positive expected value.
Chet Holmgren Over 24.5 Points+Rebounds (-125 BMGM) & 20+ Points (+160 DK)
What a matchup for Chet Holmgren. Golden State is surrendering the third most points per game to opposing centers because of their lackluster rim protection. Draymond Green and Kevon Looney will both struggle to deter Holmgren on lob attempts, as well as his pick-and-pops to the three-point line. Holmgren likely racks up free throws too because of Golden State’s below the rim defense; they rank 25th in opponent free throw attempt rate. In two games this season against a mostly healthy Warriors squad, Holmgren produced 24 and 36 points. There’s a chance that the Rookie of the Year contender hits the over through only scoring.
Holmgren is averaging 7.9 rebounds per game, and he grabbed 8 and 10 rebounds in those two matchups. Golden State boxes out well, but his 7’6” wingspan will allow him to rise above the fray and snag the basketball. Finally, the Warriors mainly shoot from outside, which inherently boosts rebound chances.
Overall, look for Holmgren to considerably breach 25 points plus rebounds here. He must do so about 55.6 percent of the time for the bet to be profitable in the long run. In addition, Holmgren needs to score 20 points roughly 38.5 percent of the time.