Washington Commanders vs. New York Jets NFL Player Props & Picks (12/24/23)

It’s a battle of eliminated teams on Sunday, as the Jets and Commanders both look to build momentum for 2024. Here’s a look at some of the best player prop bets for their Christmas Eve battle.

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Washington Commanders vs. New York Jets Player Prop Picks

Terry McLaurin Over 4.5 Receptions (+112, FanDuel)

Jacoby Brissett showed Sam Howell the path to success when he replaced him last weekend by consistently throwing the ball to Terry McLaurin. McLaurin caught fire as soon as Brissett entered the game, and he remains easily the Commanders’ best offensive weapon as he showed in a six-catch, 144-yard performance.

It’s been a disappointing year for McLaurin with this usage, but he still has 5+ receptions in 9 of his 14 games. Concerns in this game will be the success of the Jets’ defense at home and Sam Howell’s ability to avoid sacks against a tough pass-rush, but considering Trevor Siemian is starting for the Jets and might not be able to sustain drives, Howell should have plenty of opportunities to look McLaurin’s way.

Yardage is less certain with how well the Jets’ secondary has looked at home, but the catches should at least be there for McLaurin.

Dalvin Cook Under 13.5 Rushing Yards (-114, FanDuel)

The Jets look like they’ve given up on Dalvin Cook, if they hadn’t already. The veteran earned only one carry last week, coming in behind Israel Abanikanda (4 attempts) in addition to Breece Hall. While Abanikanda’s involvement might have had something to do with the game being so far out of reach, it doesn’t make much sense for Cook to see more touches than the rookie with the playoffs now formally out of reach.

Cook has surpassed 13.5 rushing yards only twice in his last nine games, and his usage is unlikely to leave him enough opportunities to get to 14 without a rare explosive play.

Garrett Wilson Over 5.5 Receptions (+102, FanDuel)

Garrett Wilson was targeted six times in Trevor Siemian’s first three drives alone last weekend, though two of those plays were erased by penalties. There isn’t any reason for Siemian not to target Wilson early and often against one of the league’s softest pass defenses, particularly if he has more time to throw than he did last week with Washington’s pass-rush struggling over the last three games.

Siemian’s accuracy is a concern, but what he’s bringing to the table can’t be any worse than what Wilson has already dealt with this season. The second-year WR is averaging 5.6 catches per game, and he should end up right above that mark if the Commanders’ pass defense plays anything like it has all season – even if those receptions don’t turn into huge gains.

Jets Defense Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+750, FanDuel)

This is an attractive line considering the Jets’ defense has been so dominant at home. New York is allowing a 66.1 opponent passer rating at home, compared to 100.1 on the road, and 10 of their 12 defensive interceptions have taken place at MetLife Stadium. Sam Howell has thrown six interceptions in his last four games and has 15 on the season. He’s been known to take a few risks, and the Jets’ defense could punish him for them.

Howell also takes far too many sacks, and he looked like he lost some confidence last week before getting benched by Ron Rivera. While his awareness has improved since the start of the season, a tough Jets pass-rush wreaked havoc against C.J. Stroud two weeks ago and can either get to Howell or force him into bad decisions. Could the Jets get a defensive touchdown out of that pressure? It’s realistic enough that +750 is worth strong consideration.

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