Washington is visiting Arizona State after losing a very close game in Los Angeles last week to UCLA. Arizona State also lost in Los Angeles too last week, but to USC in a game that got out of hand in the second half. Let’s take a look at the odds and make some picks and predictions for this game!
Washington vs. Arizona State Odds
Washington is a 14-point road favorite against Arizona State and is at -520 on the money line. The over/under is also set at 57. I’m surprised the spread is only at 14 points in favor of Washington right now. Arizona State has struggled a lot this year, but this spread says that oddsmakers don’t see a full on blowout by Washington on the road, especially because it’s been awhile since the Huskies have won in Tempe. The over/under seems about right though because while Arizona State has struggled on offense, Washington has not. There’s also a good chance Arizona State finds some offense with the energy of being at home, so there’s a lot to like with this total. Keep an eye on this spread too because it could get bigger in favor of the Huskies.
Washington vs. Arizona State Prediction
The Pick: Washington -14
Washington has burst onto the scene this year with a new and improved offense under first year head coach, Kalen DeBoer. The Huskies also have a new quarterback under center, Michael Penix Jr., who’s the leading passer in the entire country. This new and improved offense for Washington is averaging 42 points and 507 total yards of offense. The Husky defense has been decent as well, but the offense has been a difference-maker, especially with how it was last year.
The Sun Devils, on the other hand, seem to be a team that has essentially thrown in the towel on the season. They parted ways with their head coach Herm Edwards after Week 3 of the season, and have looked lifeless since. They have issues across the board. The defense is giving up 28 points and and 399 yards a game, while the offense is only averaging 23 points and 345 yards a game. Washington’s defense will give up some yards and points to the Sun Devils, but the question is if Arizona State can do anything against the Husky offense. That offense is the difference here, and Washington should cover easily against a team that seems like it is in disarray.
Washington vs. Arizona State Key Matchups
Can the Arizona State secondary do anything to slow down Michael Penix Jr.? Can Washington stop Arizona State’s run game with Xazavian Valladay?
Michael Penix Jr. vs the Arizona State Secondary
Michael Penix Jr. has been nothing short of dominant for the Washington offense this year. He’s the leading passer in the whole country right now with 1,733 passing yards while also having 16 touchdowns to just three interceptions. He also has a 65% completion percentage on the year too. His best game was against Michigan State when he had 397 passing yards and four touchdowns.
Arizona State’s passing defense has not been that good, and they are giving up 233 passing yards a game. The most they have given up was just last week to USC with 348 yards through the air.
Xazavian Valladay vs the Washington Front Seven
Xazavian Valladay had been a decent running back and player for the Sun Devils through the first three weeks of the season. However, he’s almost disappeared completely in terms of stats the last two games Arizona State has played. Valladay has 73 carries, 455 rushing yards, and five rushing touchdowns on the year too. The last two games the Sun Devils have gone away from Valladay, though, and he got 30 rushing yards, and then 64 rushing yards respectively.
Washington will be an interesting challenge for Valladay and the Sun Devil rushing offense since the Huskies are giving up an average of 108 yards on the ground. The most rushing yards they have given up was to UCLA last week with 184 yards on the ground. Valladay needs to get going for the Sun Devils to have any chance in this game because their passing attack has struggled.
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