Predictions for Twins vs. White Sox: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 10

Wednesday’s contest features the Minnesota Twins (52-39) and the Chicago White Sox (26-67) matching up at Guaranteed Rate Field in what should be a tight matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Twins according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 5:40 PM ET on July 10.

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Twins vs. White Sox Matchup Info

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Twins vs. White Sox Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, White Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Twins vs. White Sox Betting Lines

Twins vs White Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Twins -205 +170 8.5 -105 -115

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Twins Betting Insights

  • Minnesota has won 42, or 65.6%, of the 64 contests it has been named as the odds-on favorite in this year.
  • The Twins have a win-loss record of 10-1 when favored by -205 or better by oddsmakers this year.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of 90 opportunities.
  • The Twins had an 11-3 record in the 14 games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 15 matchups.
  • Over its past 15 matchups (all had set totals), Minnesota combined with its opponents to go over the run total 11 times.

White Sox Betting Insights

  • Chicago has won 22 of the 87 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (25.3%).
  • The White Sox have a 6-26 record (winning just 18.8% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +170 or longer.
  • Chicago has played in 93 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 43 times (43-46-4).
  • The White Sox have played as underdogs in 11 of their past 15 games and won three of those contests.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Chicago and its opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.

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Twins vs. White Sox Probable Pitchers

Twins’ Starting Pitcher: Pablo Lopez

  • The 28-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with a 5.18 ERA and 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .251.
  • Pablo Lopez’s team has a record of 9-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Lopez’s team has won 10 of his 18 starts.
  • Games started by Lopez have a 9-8-1 record at hitting the over this season.

White Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Drew Thorpe

  • The 23-year-old has a 3.71 ERA and 6.1 strikeouts per nine innings in five games this season, while allowing a batting average of .168 to opposing batters.
  • The White Sox have a 2-2 record in Thorpe’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • In Thorpe’s five starts, his team is 3-2.
  • Drew Thorpe has had five starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and one of those outings finished over the total.

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Twins’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 52-39
Home 27-18
Road 25-21
One-Run Games 15-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 38-7

White Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 26-67
Home 16-30
Road 10-37
One-Run Games 8-19
Scoring 5+ Runs 14-14

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