Making the decision picking someone up off of the waiver wire is always made difficult by the follow up question; who do I drop in exchange? There will always be players that have been underperforming but you keep on your bench because its them. You buy into the name and not the production. In this article you will find players that are worthy of picking up for the week and even keeping for the weeks to come as well as players you can drop in exchange. All players that are drops will be rostered in over 50% of leagues while players you should pick up will be available in over 50% of leagues. All statistics used in this article can be found at https://www.lineups.com/nfl.
Who to Drop:
WR Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) – 79.2% Rostered
Entering the Arizona Cardinals’ bye week during week 12, Fitzgerald is rendered useless to your fantasy team this week. After the Cardinals’ bye week, the Cardinals will face the Rams (11th) and Steelers (16th). Tough matchups for Fitzgerald and the Cardinals after the bye week. Since starting the season Fitzgerald went from playing almost 100% of the snaps on a weekly basis to playing just 79% of snaps from week 5 on. A combination of his bye week this week and the two tough matchups in the weeks following his bye make Fitzgerald a drop candidate this week.
QB Jared Goff (LAR) vs. BAL – 68.7% Rostered
Having one of his worst seasons so far as a pro, Goff has lost his mojo this season. In every statistical category, Goff has performed worse this season compared to last. Completion percentage down nearly 5%, yards per attempt down by nearly a full yard, QBR is down nearly 20 points, and his touchdown to interception ratio is atrocious. Goff has shown when against a weak defense like Cincinnati and Tampa Bay that he can still somewhat perform. However, facing the Ravens this week who rank 6th best against opposing fantasy quarterbacks. Goff is a safe drop to the waiver wire and should be kept their until he can string some games together.
RB Brian Hill (ATL) vs. TB – 69.4% Rostered
A disappointing outing for the backup running-back during week 11. Carrying the ball 15 times for just 30 yards, catching 1 pass for 8 yards against Carolina’s running-back friendly defense. Averaging just 2 yards per carry in week 11. Coach Dan Quinn seems optimistic about Freeman’s return from injury, not ruling him out of practice for later in the week. Even if Freeman is unable to return from injury, Hill is not likely to perform against the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay has been one of the best run-defenses in the NFL this season, ranking 2nd best against opposing fantasy running-backs. Hill is a safe drop to the waiver wire this week.
Who to Pick Up:
RB Derrius Guice (WAS) vs. DET – 46.7% Rostered
Guice was on his way to a disappointing week this week after carrying the ball 7 times for 24 yards. What saved his day was the 1 reception he got, taking it for 45 yards and a touchdown. It was neither Guice nor Peterson who dominated snaps in week 11, it was Wendell Smallwood. The backup running-back saw 46% of snaps, Guice was second in the pecking order seeing 29% of the snaps, and Peterson third playing 25%. Smallwood was a non-factor in the offense, seeing 0 carries and 1 reception for 11 yards. Showing some promise in this performance, Guice will continue to split work with veteran Adrian Peterson. Facing the Lions in week 12, who ranks 32nd against opposing running-backs. The Lions have given up 4.6 yards per carry and the 9th most rushing touchdowns (9 rushing TDs) to opposing running-backs. The matchup can’t get much better for a running-back. Guice will continue to see more and more of a workload in the offense.
WR Deebo Samuel (SF) vs. GB – 33.0% Rostered
Another impressive week for Deebo Samuel against the Cardinals. Catching 8 of 10 targets for 134 yards. Unfortunately, he was unable to reach the end-zone this week. Samuel has now led the 49ers wide receivers in targets for 2 weeks in a row. Seeing an average target share this season of 19.4%, Samuel should b your number one wide receiver pickup this week. Facing the Green Bay Packers in week 12. The Packers defense has allowed the 5th most passing yards (2,578 yards), 6th highest yards per completion (11.8 yards/completion), and the 7th highest yards per attempt (7.4 yards/attempt).
TE Dallas Goedert (PHI) vs. SEA – 28.3% Rostered
The Eagles have been clearly struggling all season at the wide receiver position. This struggle has led to the increase in involvement of Dallas Goedert into this Eagles’ offense. Playing at least 75% of the snaps since week 8, Goedert has been a Zach Ertz clone. Being a factor in the run and pass game. Goedert has averaged 5.6 targets per game over the past 5 games. During week 12, Goedert and the Eagles will face the Seattle Seahawks. The Seahawks rank as the 15th best team against opposing fantasy tight-ends. A favorable matchup for the Eagles tight-end trying to help bring them into the playoff race.
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