Wyoming vs Connecticut: Betting Odds, Picks, & Predictions (9/25/21)

Wyoming vs. Connecticut Betting Odds 

Connecticut is the worst FBS team I’ve seen in years.

Connecticut is 0-4 this season with a -135-point differential, winning exactly three games since 2018. Their head coach has already stepped down, and I’m not sure if they’ll win another game this season.

Meanwhile, Wyoming is 2-0 and looking like a potential force in the Mountain West. They’re a well-balanced, all-around football team that brings experience to the table.

As such, Wyoming is laying almost 30 points at the time of this writing. The question is: Do we continue fading UConn at such a high number? Or should we start to buy back in on them as massive home underdogs?

Wyoming Cowboys Odds

Wyoming runs on 63.6% of their play calls, and the Cowboys have been relatively successful at doing so. Behind an offensive line that returned all five starters from last season, Wyoming is averaging over four YPC and currently ranks 32nd in Rush Success Rate.

However, what’s great about the Wyoming offense is they can pass when needed. Sean Chambers is back under center and has completed about 60% of his passes this season for over eight yards per attempt. He’s also already constructed two game-winning touchdown drives, including a 75-yard one with under two minutes left to cover 6.5 points against Northern Illinois.

The defense has been the backbone of the program over the past few years, and they returned over 80% of their defensive production from last season. However, that unit has been questionable through the first few games.

They rank just 90th in Havoc and are allowing well over 4.5 YPC. The pass defense has been much better, but only to the point where they’re above-average in Defense Passing Success Rate.

However, I wouldn’t worry about any of that right now. The Cowboys are 3-0 and about to play the worst FBS team there is.

Connecticut Huskies Odds

There’s not a single unit on this team that’s a plus.

The air attack features three quarterbacks that are all averaging under 4.2 yards per attempt with a combined completion percentage under 50%. Their all-star running back Kevin Mensah, who has two 1000-yard seasons underneath his belt, has been held to just 2.9 YPC through three weeks.

Meanwhile, the defense ranks fifth-to-last in Defensive Success rate while allowing opponents to complete over 73% of their passes and rush for over five YPC.

The defense is filled with underclassmen, returning less than 50% of their defensive snaps from last season. These kids can’t stop a nosebleed.

All-in-all, the Huskies rank third-to-last in points per game (12.7) and second-to-last in points allowed per game (46).

Prediction and Pick

Unless UConn does something drastic to change my mind, I will be fading them all season.

I’m looking for Wyoming to run the ball down Connecticut’s throat. The Cowboys should put up 300+ rushing yards in this spot. Meanwhile, look for the Cowboy defense to throw stop sticks on a hapless UConn attack.

Given everything I’ve laid out, I’ve found three ways I’ll be fading the Huskies on Saturday:

  • Wyoming -29 (-115 on DraftKings)
  • Wyoming 1H -17 (-115 on DraftKings)
  • Wyoming 1Q -7 (-120 on DraftKings)

So, bet everything you have on Wyoming, grab your popcorn, and enjoy the absolute beatdown this game will end up being.

Tanner joined Lineups to cover everything, but he has vast experience in, and unlimited passion for, Major League Baseball and NCAA Basketball. He’s a McGill University grad and former (Canadian) Division-I alpine ski racer who now spends his time drinking beer and betting home underdogs. Patrick Mahomes is a poor man’s Tom Brady.

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