Predictions for Yankees vs. Red Sox: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – June 14

Friday’s contest features the New York Yankees (49-22) and the Boston Red Sox (35-34) clashing at Fenway Park in what should be a tight matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Yankees according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 6:30 PM ET on June 14.

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Matchup Info

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Red Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Lines

Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Yankees -148 +124 9.5 +102 -122

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Yankees Betting Insights

  • New York has come away with 37 wins in the 52 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
  • The Yankees have a win-loss record of 20-8 when favored by -148 or better by bookmakers this year.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 33 of 71 opportunities.
  • The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in 12 of their past 15 games, and they went 10-2 in those matchups.
  • Over its past 15 outings (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total 10 times.

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has won 46.9% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (15-17).
  • The Red Sox are 2-9 (winning only 18.2% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +124 or longer.
  • Boston has combined with opponents to go over the total 31 times this season for a 31-33-5 record against the over/under.
  • In five games as underdogs in their past 15 matchups, the Red Sox had a record of 2-3.
  • In its past 15 games with a total, Boston and its opponents have failed to hit the over five times.

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Gil

  • The 26-year-old has pitched to a 2.04 ERA this season with 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.2 walks per nine across 13 games.
  • Luis Gil’s team is 9-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Gil has started, his team is 11-2.
  • Games started by Gil have a 6-7-0 record at hitting the over this season.

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Brayan Bello

  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 4.78, with 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings in 11 games this season. Opposing batters have a .254 batting average against him.
  • The Red Sox have been the moneyline underdog in six of Bello’s starts this season, and they went 4-2 in those games.
  • Bello’s team has compiled a 7-4 record in his 11 starts.
  • Brayan Bello has started 11 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in seven of them.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 49-22
Home 22-10
Road 27-12
One-Run Games 10-8
Scoring 5+ Runs 37-2

Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 35-34
Home 16-19
Road 19-15
One-Run Games 7-5
Scoring 5+ Runs 28-4

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