Predictions for Yankees vs. Red Sox: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 5

Friday’s game features the New York Yankees (54-35) and the Boston Red Sox (47-39) squaring off at Yankee Stadium in what should be a close matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Yankees according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 7:05 PM ET on July 5.

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Matchup Info

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Red Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Lines

Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Yankees -143 +120 8 -115 -105

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Yankees Betting Insights

  • New York has been chosen as the favorite in 67 games this year, and has walked away with the win 40 times (59.7%) in those games.
  • This season, the Yankees have come away with a win 23 times in 40 chances when named as a favorite of at least -143 or better on the moneyline.
  • Contests involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 47 of 89 chances this season.
  • The Yankees went 2-10 across the 12 games in which they were moneyline favorites in their past 15 matchups.
  • In its past 15 outings, New York and its opponents combined to hit the over 12 times (all 15 of the games had set totals).

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has won 52.6% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (20-18).
  • The Red Sox have gone 8-10 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +120 or longer (44.4%).
  • Boston has played in 86 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with opponents to go over the total 43 times (43-38-5).
  • The Red Sox have played as underdogs four times in their past 15 games and won each of those contests.
  • Boston and its opponents have combined to hit the over 11 times in its past 15 games with a total.

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Nestor Cortes Jr.

  • The 29-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with a 3.51 ERA and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings with a batting average against of .243.
  • Nestor Cortes Jr.’s team has been victorious in 40% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-9.
  • Cortes’ team has won seven of his 18 starts this season.
  • In Cortes’ 18 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over seven times.

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Tanner Houck

  • The 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.67, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings in 17 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .221 batting average against him.
  • The Red Sox are 1-2 in Houck’s three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Houck’s team is 11-6 over his 17 starts.
  • Tanner Houck has had 17 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in seven of those games.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 54-35
Home 24-17
Road 30-18
One-Run Games 10-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 41-5

Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 47-39
Home 20-23
Road 27-16
One-Run Games 11-5
Scoring 5+ Runs 37-4

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