Predictions for Yankees vs. Red Sox: Score Projection, Over/Under Pick & Odds – July 7

Sunday’s game that pits the New York Yankees (55-36) against the Boston Red Sox (48-40) at Yankee Stadium should be a tight matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Yankees. Game time is at 7:10 PM ET on July 7.

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Matchup Info

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Predictions

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Red Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Lines

Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Yankees -130 +110 8.5 -118 -102

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Yankees Betting Insights

  • New York has been victorious in 41, or 59.4%, of the 69 contests it has been chosen as the favorite in this season.
  • This season, the Yankees have been victorious 32 times in 56 chances when named as a favorite of at least -130 or better on the moneyline.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over in 48 of 91 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Yankees played as the moneyline favorite in 12 of their past 15 games, and they finished 2-10 in those matchups.
  • In its past 15 matchups (all 15 of them had set totals), New York and its opponents combined to go over the run total 12 times.

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • Boston has won 21 of the 40 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (52.5%).
  • The Red Sox have a record of 12-11 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer (52.2%).
  • Boston has played in 88 games with a set over/under, and it has combined with its opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-38-6).
  • The Red Sox have played as underdogs in four of their past 15 games and went 3-1 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, Boston and its opponents are 10-4-1 in its past 15 games with a total.

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Probable Pitchers

Yankees’ Starting Pitcher: Luis Gil

  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.41 and 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with a batting average against of .168 in 17 games this season.
  • When Luis Gil starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 10-4.
  • Gil’s team is 12-5 when he starts this season.
  • In games Gil has started this season, the teams are 9-8-0 at hitting the over.

Red Sox’s Starting Pitcher: Kutter Crawford

  • The 28-year-old has a 3.47 ERA and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 17 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .220 to his opponents.
  • The Red Sox have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Crawford’s starts this season, and they went 2-5 in those games.
  • Crawford’s team has a 5-12 record in his starts this season.
  • Crawford’s starts went over the run total seven times in 17 games with a set total this season.

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Yankees’ 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 55-36
Home 25-18
Road 30-18
One-Run Games 10-11
Scoring 5+ Runs 42-5

Red Sox’s 2024 Performance

Split Record
Overall 48-40
Home 20-23
Road 28-17
One-Run Games 11-5
Scoring 5+ Runs 38-4

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