2021 Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview
The Dallas Cowboys are going to be the team to beat in the NFC East this season. After a disappointing season filled with injuries, Zeke fumbling issues, and bad defense, the Cowboys are back.
QB Dak Prescott suffered a severe ankle injury last season and looks good on his long road to recovery. Star running back Ezekiel Elliott had his worst season as a pro and his season went down the toilet at the exact same time that Prescott went down.
The defense was also dreadful last season as they ranked one of the worst for both yards gained on them and points allowed. The only good thing about the Cowboys last season was their trio of excellent receivers. Teams everywhere struggle to cover Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb, and Michael Gallup and they should be just as dominant this season.
The good thing for the Cowboys is that the NFC East is wide open as it was by far the worst division in football last year. The Washington Football Team and Giants both got better, but this season really rides on the ankle of Dak Prescott.
If Dak is healthy, then the Cowboys should win the division because they are the most talented team. If Dak is subpar, then it will be a dogfight to see who gets the coveted home playoff game.
2020 Dallas Cowboys Team Stats
- Points For: 402
- Points Against: 481
- Passing Yards Per Game: 260.1
- Rushing Yards Per Game: 111.8
- Passing Yards Allowed Per Game: 227.6
- Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game: 158.8
Key Offseason Transactions
The defense was horrible last year and the Cowboys made sure they covered all of their bases on that side of the ball.
In the draft, they used their first six picks on defensive players, including their crown jewel LB Micah Parsons. Using their remaining five picks, they selected CB Kelvin Joseph, DT Osa Odighizuwa, DE Chauncey Golston, CB Nahshon Wright, and LB Jabril Cox. The Cowboys’ defense is now young and energized and should be better than they were last year. If they’re not, that’s more on the organization than the players.
The Cowboys also get some key offensive players back like tackle Tyron Smith and tackle La’el Collins. Both of those players are All-Pro type players at their position, so that should help the Cowboys keep Dak safe while also getting Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard more room to run the ball.
2020 Dallas Cowboys Betting Stats
- Record: 6-10
- MOV: -4.9
- ATS: 5-11
- ATS +/-: -3.0
- Over/Under: 9-7
- Total +/-: -3
2021 Dallas Cowboys Betting Outlook
The Cowboys had some bad betting splits last year, but I expect them to be better this year.
The defense got better this offseason as guys will be fighting for spots, so only the strong will survive and claim starting roles.
They also get some key offensive players back from injury like the aforementioned Collins, Smith, and Prescott. Speaking of Prescott, he was the reason the Cowboys hit a lot of their overs on the season as he got 4 out of 9 overs in only 5 weeks. Prescott played out of his mind when he was healthy and was the only reason that the Cowboys stayed in as many games as they did. If any average quarterback played for the Cowboys, they would have lost by 30 points each game.
That’s just how bad the Cowboys’ defense was last season and how good Dak Prescott played when he didn’t snap his ankle. Expect a better ATS split by the end of the season and expect many Cowboys’ overs.
Dallas Cowboys Super Bowl Odds
For a team that finished with a losing record last season, they have pretty high odds to win the Super Bowl this season at +2500. This is tied for the 7th best odds in the league with the Broncos, Seahawks, and Colts.
The only teams with higher odds are the teams we expect to see in the Super Bowl like the Chiefs, Buccaneers, Bills, Rams, Ravens, 49ers, Browns, and Packers.
The Cowboys are a high-risk high upside pick because of their incredible offense. With the versatility they have on offense between Zeke’s power run ability and the air raid they have with Prescott, Cooper, Lamb, and Gallup, the Cowboys are going to be unstoppable on offense.
The issues with the Cowboys are their coaching and defense. While this defense is young and talented, they are still unproven and were one of the worst in the league. That goes into my next point which is coaching. Mike Mccarthy is not one of the best coaches in the league and made some really boneheaded decisions in his first season with the Cowboys.
We shall see if these issues get resolved in the 2021 season, but for now, stay away from the Cowboys are your Super Bowl pick.
Dallas Cowboys Playoff Odds
America’s team is expected to come out as the victors of the NFC East.
Their odds to make the playoffs are at -140 while their odds to miss the playoffs are at +110.
The only way that the Cowboys can get into the playoffs is if they win the NFC East because the rest of the NFC has too much talent on offense and defense for the Cowboys to compete for a wildcard spot.
And winning the NFC East is very manageable if you are a Cowboys fan because the Cowboys have the best quarterback and offense in the division. Dak Prescott is miles better than Ryan Fitzgerald or Daniel Jones and Washington of the Giants are not going to be able to put up the kind of points the Cowboys can.
If the defense is average at best, that’s fine as the Cowboys only need a defense that is not one of the worst to win the division.
Dallas Cowboys Win Total Odds
The wins total is a bit lofty for the Cowboys as Vegas set the line at 9.5 wins.
The under for this bet has -130 odds while the over has +107 odds.
Finding 10 wins for this Dallas team is difficult as they play some stiff competition this season. They can beat their division mates enough to maybe get 3 to 4 wins, but after that is when it gets hard.
The Cowboys have to play the Buccaneers, Chargers, Panthers, Vikings, Broncos, Falcons, Chiefs, Raiders, Saints, and Cardinals next season with 4 out of their last 5 games being against teams in their division.
This schedule would be hard for any team to overcome so if I had a gun to my head, I would probably put money on the under 9.5 wins.
Dallas Cowboys Player Futures Odds
Cowboys’ players have a chance at the MVP, Comeback Player of the Year, and DROY awards this season.
On the offensive side of the ball, the MVP is a quarterback award and the Cowboys have a good one in Dak Prescott. Prescott has +1700 odds, which are the 6th best odds in the league. He is behind megastars of the league like Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Russell Wilson, Matt Stafford, and Lamar Jackson. Prescott also has the best odds to win the Comeback Player of the Year award at +175 odds.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Cowboys drafted an excellent rookie linebacker in Micah Parson who has the best odds to win the DROY. He currently has +488 odds.
The Cowboys have two of the favorites in 2 NFL league-wide awards and I expect both of them to win their respective trophies.
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