2021 Tennessee Titans Betting Preview
The Titans had one of the best offenses in the league last year and got even better when they added Julio Jones to their roster. That’s right you read that correctly. Julio Jones has finally been traded after 10 years of service to the Atlanta Falcons and is now on a top contender to win the Super Bowl in the AFC.
Now the bad part about the Titans was their historically bad defense, which couldn’t stop a PeeWee team last season. They addressed this in the offseason by drafting one of the top cornerbacks in Caleb Farley and getting another great cornerback in Janoris Jenkins from free agency.
But the real story with the Titans is their newly formed four-headed monster on offense. Tannehill, Henry, Brown, and Jones are the people the rest of the league are fearing as this offense should be even more explosive than the 4th ranked offense they had last year. Tannehill has been fantastic since joining the Titans and he has been throwing to a sturdy and reliable receiver in A.J. Brown, who happened to be a Pro Bowler in his second year as a pro. Tannehill now gets the benefit of throwing to one of the best receivers to ever play the game in Julio Jones. But the real threat when playing the Titans is their running game which is controlled by King Derrick Henry. Henry is one of the best running backs in the league and has been dominating behind the spectacular Titan’s offensive line.
Expectations are high in Tennessee and the Titans have the talent to compete with the Cheifs and the Bills for the right to win a Super Bowl.
2020 Tennessee Titans Team Stats
- Points For: 497
- Points Against: 445
- Passing Yards Per Game: 228.3
- Rushing Yards Per Game: 168.1
- Passing Yards Allowed Per Game: 277.4
- Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game: 120.8
Key Offseason Transactions
There were many blockbuster trades in the NFL offseason, but there might not have been one bigger than the Titans trading for Julio Jones. Jones adds a second great receiver to the Titans, and this is huge as the Titans lost many great receivers this offseason. None had the game-breaking talent that Jones has, but they did have production that Jones can’t make up by himself. WR Corey Davis, TE Jonnu Smith, and WR Adam Humphries were all players who all left in the offseason and they all did great things in their time in Tennesee.
Getting better defensive players was a priority for the Titans this offseason as they got torched every week last season. Their secondary was abysmal last year and the Titans got two great lockdown players in rookie Caleb Farley and veteran Janoris Jenkins. Tennesse loaded up on defensive players in the draft as they picked LB Monty Rice, CB Elijah Molden, DE Rashad Weaver, and DB Brady Breezy. Hopefully, these moves will add some speed and talent to a disappointing defensive unit.
2020 Tennessee Titans Betting Stats
- Record: 11-6
- MOV: +2.3
- ATS: 7-9
- ATS +/-: +0.4
- Over/Under: 12-3-1
- Total +/-: +12
2021 Tennessee Titans Betting Outlook
It should be no surprise that the Titans hit the over so many times last season.
Their offense was one of the best in the league while their defense was among the worst in the league. This is the perfect recipe for overs and no matter how high the oddsmakers made the line, the Titans somehow found a way to get over it.
Then looking at their ATS trends we can see that they were below average in that area of betting. This was mostly because their defense was so bad that they couldn’t hold a lead that the offense gained. But this year should be different as the Titans added a lot of young talent which should be better than the product that Mike Vrabel had last year. Mike Vrabel is a defensive-minded coach and his influence should be impactful to the point where they should be average this season.
So for 2021, the Titans should be better ATS, but will not get as many overs as they did last season.
Tennessee Titans Super Bowl Odds
The Titans are considered one of the best teams in the NFL and thus have some of the highest odds to win the Super Bowl in the entire league. They have the 8th highest odds in the league which is tied with the Colts, Seahawks, and Vikings and behind squads like the Chiefs, Buccaneers, Rams, 49ers, Ravens, Saints, and Browns.
The only things that scare me about the Titans Super Bowl odds are their health and defense. The defense was super bad last year and didn’t get as much immediate veteran talent that they probably need to compete for a title. Their defense is young, so if Vrabel can whip them into shape and have them become an average defense, then the Titans have a great chance to come out of the AFC.
Their other issue is their health, especially to star players on the offense. A.J. Brown is only 3 seasons into his career as a pro and has already had knee surgery. Julio Jones is now 32 years old, which is old for an NFL player, who has also taken a ton of hits in his 10-year career. Ryan Tannehill has torn his ACL before and I hope he doesn’t do it again, but there is always a chance he will. Derrick Henry has been a beast for the Titans as their lead back, but those hits will add up eventually and this year might be the year his body starts to break down.
If the defense can get into form and the offense stays healthy, then there is no reason why the Titans shouldn’t be a top 3 team in the AFC. But that’s a hard thing to accomplish and there are just too many question marks for me to give them a Super Bowl ring before the season starts.
Tennessee Titans Playoff Odds
Yes, the Titans will be in the playoffs once early January rolls around.
Their division is relatively easy as the Jaguars and Texans are easy pickings for a team as talented as the Titans. Their only main rival is the Colts, and while the Colts are a fantastic and tough team in their won right, their quarterbacks are worse than the Titans and so the edge goes to Tennessee.
And even if the Colts beat out the Titans for the division crown, that’s fine as Tennessee is still better than the teams competing for a wildcard spot. You can’t say that any combination of the Patriots, Dolphins, Ravens, Browns, Steelers, Chargers, or Raiders have more talent or have as many accomplishments as the Titans.
The Titans are going to be in the playoffs whether that’s through winning their division or by being a top wildcard seed that no one wants to play.
Tennessee Titans Win Total Odds
Are the oddsmakers trying to make Vegas go broke because this wins total odds are obnoxiously low? I don’t care how hard the Titans’ schedule is because a team with as much raw talent as the Titans shouldn’t have a line like this.
I will give the oddsmakers this, their schedule is kind of brutal. For the 2021 season, the Titans have to play the Cardinals, Seahawks, Colts twice, Jets, Jaguars twice, Bills, Chiefs, Rams, Saints, Texans twice, Patriots, Steelers, 49ers, and Dolphins.
This is one of the hardest schedules in the league with not much wiggle room to drop a game that you win. But the Titans are a public favorite for a reason as they have just as much talent to compete with any of these teams I mentioned above. The Titans’ defense will be tested all season long, but if they can make one or two stops per game, then that should give the offense enough opportunities to outscore the opposing team and win the game.
Tennessee Titans Players Future Odds
Starting on the offense, let’s look at two of the Titans who have high odds to win the MVP. Ryan Tannehill has been putting up Patrick Mahomes numbers with none of the recognition since becoming the starting quarterback for the Titans. Tannehill has been great for the Titans, but the odds don’t reflect that as they sit at +3000 which are the 12th best among quarterbacks. Tannehill might be a great player, but he is not going to win the MVP because other teams out there like to throw the ball more than the Titans and so Tannehill’s numbers will suffer a little.
The best player on the Titans has even worse odds to win the MVP because of the position he plays. Derrick Henry is the engine that makes the car go for Tennessee, but not many non-quarterbacks win the MVP. Especially playing as a running back, Henry’s odds shrink even further as running back is considered one of the easiest positions to replace. That being said, Henry is a bowling ball and he has been running over the league for many years now. His odds to win MVP are a measly +5000, but look out for when the Offensive Player of the Year award odds are released because his odds of winning are high.
Caleb Farley was a highly rated lockdown corner prospect coming out of Virginia Tech and his DROY odds support that. At +2500, Farley is tied with Green Bay CB Eric Stokes and Tampa Bay edge rusher Joe Tyron for the 8th best odds for a defensive rookie. These odds are worse than players like Micah Parsons, Jaelan Phillips, Jamin Davis, Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, Kwitty Paye, Zaven Collins, Patrick Surtain, Jaycee Horn, Gregory Rousseau, Azeez Ojulari, Greg Newsome II, and Odafe Oweh. Farley’s only saving grace is his interceptions total by the end of the season.
If Farely can snag 4 or more interceptions before the season finishes, that should be plenty of production to win the DROY even with all of the pass rushers and other cornerbacks competing for the award.
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