49ers Vs. Eagles Same Game Parlay Picks, Strategy, & Odds For NFL Playoffs (1/29/23)

By Noah Rosenstein | Jan 28, 2023, 1:25pm

The NFC Championship Game features a heavyweight bout between the #1 seed Philadelphia Eagles and the #2 seed San Francisco 49ers with a spot in Super Bowl LVII on the line.

In this article, I’ll build a Same Game Parlay (SGP) for this 49ers vs. Eagles matchup. For those new to the world of sports betting, SGPs allow you to combine multiple wagers across the spread, total, and player prop markets to get an even better payout. You need to hit on every bet to win the parlay, so coming up with a winning combination is an exercise in balancing risk and reward.

As always, never bet more than you can afford to lose. While the payout for hitting a SGP can be great, the odds are high for a reason.

*Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

NFC Championship Game Same Game Parlay – 49ers vs. Eagles

A good strategy for building a solid Same Game Parlay is to look for a combination of bets that are closely correlated. Since you need to hit on every bet to win the parlay, picking carefully coordinated bets that increase the likelihood of each bet hitting can be a recipe for success – and some nice winnings.

If you read my preview of this matchup, you will know that I am picking the Eagles to win and cover. A big reason for that is the Eagles’ league-best pass rush, which produced a whopping 70 sacks this year, just two shy of the NFL record.

The Eagles’ most dangerous pass rusher is Haason Reddick, who finished with 16 sacks on the year (tied for 2nd in the league) and added another 1.5 in the Divisional Round against the Giants. Reddick had a 28% pass rush win rate this season (also 2nd in the league) and now faces a 49ers’ offensive line that was 20th in the league in pass block win rate. So I am starting my SGP by picking Reddick to have at least one sack at -160 odds.

If the Eagles’ pass rush is generating pressure on 49ers rookie QB Brock Purdy, then there is a good chance they can force Purdy to make some errant throws. Last week against Dallas, Purdy faced a 27.2% pressure rate, the highest he has faced since becoming a starter. He completed just 30% of his passes and threw a few passes that he was lucky were not intercepted.

The Eagles tied for 4th in the league with 17 interceptions, so I am betting they will be able to snag one from Purdy. The second leg of my SGP is going to be 1+ interceptions for Purdy at -165 odds.

Now let’s turn to the offensive side of the ball and talk about Jalen Hurts. He has 23 rushing touchdowns over the last two seasons, the most in a two-year span in NFL history. His 13 touchdowns this year was one shy of Cam Newton’s single-season mark set in 2011.

The 49ers’ defense has not faced any mobile quarterbacks of Hurts’ caliber this season, and I am betting that Hurts uses his legs effectively on zone reads and RPOs in this game. The third leg of my SGP is a Hurts anytime touchdown at +125 odds.

That would bring the total odds on my same game parlay to +475, but let’s juice that up a bit. If I hit on all three of those legs, then I would feel even more confident in my pick of the Eagles to cover the 2.5-point spread. Adding that as my fourth leg at -120 odds brings the overall SGP odds to +750, and I like the sound of that.

Here is a summary of our juicy four-leg Same Game Parlay.

Haason Reddick 1+ sacks (-160)
Brock Purdy 1+ interceptions (-165)
Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown (+125)
Eagles -2.5 (-120)

Full SGP Odds: +750 ($10 wins $85)

Noah Rosenstein

Noah hails from Philadelphia and is a diehard Philly sports fan. He graduated from Penn where he was a sports writer and editor for the student newspaper and also spent a summer covering the Baltimore Orioles for MLB.com. He has been playing fantasy sports since before live stats were a thing, and he has enjoyed learning the nuances of DFS in recent years. As a current resident of Florida, he is hoping the wave of sports betting legalization will eventually reach his home state.