The Cardinals-Browns game is arguably the most highly-anticipated matchup of Week 6, and it should see tons of betting action from all sorts of angles. Arizona is off to a hot 5-0 start and has emerged as one of the best teams in the NFL, and Cleveland is coming off an incredible game against the Chargers that made for excellent television. These teams both have some extraordinary offensive talent, making this game a great one to bet on player props.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Cleveland Browns Player Prop Search Tool
Baker Mayfield Over 237.5 Passing Yards
You’d be forgiven if you’re fading Baker Mayfield in fantasy football this week – the Cardinals have the #3 pass defense per Football Outsiders and have allowed just 214.4 passing yards per game, the eighth-fewest in the NFL. However, Nick Chubb has been ruled out for the Browns, and I believe Mayfield will have no choice but to throw the ball given the matchup against a high-powered Arizona offense. Mayfield has passed this passing yardage mark in two of his last three games, and it’s hard to imagine how the Browns keep this game competitive without Mayfield having significant passing volume.
James Conner Under 38.5 Rushing Yards
James Conner keeps scoring touchdowns, and that alone makes him very valuable to both the Cardinals and fantasy football managers, but I don’t expect his yardage to be huge this week. The Browns rank as the fifth-best run defense per Football Outsiders DVOA, and they have allowed just 75.6 rushing yards per game this year. Conner has averaged just 40.2 rushing yards per game on 3.2 YPC this year, so he’s been far from prolific, and I have a hard time betting on him to be successful given the matchup. However, if Chase Edmonds is ruled out, I’ll rethink this line.
Christian Kirk Over 40.5 Receiving Yards
It’s been tough to figure out which of the Cardinals’ ancillary receivers will be the most productive, but I think this is a solid spot for Christian Kirk. If there’s one area, a top-notch Cleveland secondary has been slightly vulnerable, it’s in the slot where Kirk lines up most of the time. Kirk has been over 40 receiving yards in all but one game this year, and he’s averaging 13.5 yards per reception, so he only needs three catches to hit the over on this prop. Given the projected high-scoring nature of this matchup, I’m willing to bet on Kirk having another solid game.
Odell Beckham Jr. Under 3.5 Receptions
I’m fully aware that as soon as I tell you to bet against Odell Beckham Jr., he’s going to break out for his best game of the year, but I can only work with statistics, and nothing suggests that breakout is coming. Beckham has just nine total receptions in three games and only two in each of his past two games. He only had two catches for 20 yards last week despite Cleveland scoring 42 points, and if you can’t trust him in that kind of game script, when can you? Beckham still leads all Browns wide receivers in snaps over the past two weeks by a sizable margin. Still, Arizona has the third-best pass defense this year per Football Outsiders, and I’m not calling for Beckham to be successful against the ascendant cornerback Byron Murphy.