Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons head to New Orleans this Sunday to take on a Saints team that’s coming off a big win against the reigning Super Bowl Champs. In a divisional matchup that’s split 53-51 historically in favor of the Falcons, the Saints enter as 6 point favorites. Between injuries to Jameis Winston on the Saints and Calvin Ridley on the Falcons, both teams are missing some offensive firepower. A win for the Saints puts them in first place in the NFC South, and a win for the Falcons keeps their NFC wild card hopes alive.
Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Player Prop Search Tool
Alvin Kamara Over 75.5 Rushing Yards
Though Kamara comes into this game averaging just shy of 69 YPG, the Saints offense will need to lean on him this weekend more than they have all season without starting quarterback Jameis Winston. Kamara averages 19 carries a game on the year with two games above 20 carries. In both games with 20 plus carries, Kamara rushed for more than 80 yards. Against an Atlanta rush defense that’s bottom 8 in the league in YPG allowed, expect Kamara’s number to be called early and often to get this team out of trouble.
Cordarrelle Patterson Under 34.5 Rushing Yards
The one thing this Saints team is exceptional at is stopping the run. They currently rank second in the NFL in rush yards allowed per game and first in yards allowed per attempt. Cordarrelle Patterson, meanwhile, has had some of his biggest struggles against divisional opponents in the Buccaneers and Panthers — rushing for just 11 and 35 yards in those games, respectively. Couple this with the fact that the Falcons currently have the sixth worst run blocking line in the league, and the edge goes to the under. If anything, expect Patterson to get more action in the passing game this weekend, where he’s had more success as of late.
Hayden Hurst Over 22.5 Receiving Yards
With Calvin Ridley out against a Saint’s defensive front that’s ferocious against the run, Matt Ryan is going to have to rely on some of his other weapons to make plays. One of these weapons is Hayden Hurst. Hurst comes into the weekend averaging just north of 20 YPG on the season, and exactly 27 YPG in his last 4 games. When Hurst is targeted three or more times in a game, he is averaging 33 YPG. Expect him to get three or more targets on Sunday with at least one play of over 13 yards against a Saints defense that has proven it can be thrown on.
Matt Ryan Over 255.5 Passing Yards
This one is tough given that we don’t know the full extent of the hand injury Matt Ryan suffered against the Panthers this past weekend. On the season, Ryan is averaging 259 YPG in the air, with some of his biggest success coming on the road. If the Falcons have trouble running the ball, something I anticipate, Matt Ryan is going to be called upon to beat the Saints through the air. At the very least, expect Ryan to drop back more than 40 times on Sunday. If the Saints jump out to an early lead, there’s a high probability they soften their defensive scheme to limit big plays downfield — allowing Ryan and the Falcons offense to pick up a lot of junk yardage in the second half.