Atlanta Falcons vs. San Francisco 49ers Player Props (12/19/21)

The 49ers have been on a tear recently with wins in four of their last five games and, according to FiveThirtyEight, they have a 75% chance of making the playoffs. The Falcons are impressively 6-7 despite their clear talent disadvantage against most teams, and they have a 12% chance of making the playoffs. A win here would be significant for both teams as they fight for a Wild Card spot in the crowded NFC. Both teams’ players will be at their best given the importance of this game, but where can we find player prop value in the matchup? That’s the answer I will look to answer in this article. You can use the player prop search tool below to find the best odds for props from the Falcons vs. 49ers game in your betting market.

Deebo Samuel Over 4.5 Rushing Attempts

One of the most talented offensive weapons in the NFL, Deebo Samuel, has been used more as a running back lately, with Elijah Mitchell dealing with a knee injury. Mitchell will miss this week’s game, and Jeff Wilson Jr. has not impressed in relief of Mitchell, so I expect Deebo to be heavily used on the ground in this game. Samuel has 5+ rushing attempts in four straight games with an average of 6.8 rushing attempts per game over that span. The Falcons are allowing the tenth-most rushing yards per game this season, so that you can contemplate betting Samuel over 40.5 rushing yards – he’s hit that line in two of his last four games – but I’m highly confident in the volume being there for him.

Cordarelle Patterson Over 48.5 Rushing Yards

The Falcons have been using Patterson more as a true running back lately, and it’s quite interesting to see the parallels between the way Atlanta uses him and how San Francisco uses Deebo Samuel. Patterson has gone over this yardage in each of his last three games and has averaged 81.3 rushing yards per game over that span despite facing three solid run defenses in the Buccaneers, Panthers, and Jaguars. Patterson is averaging 10.2 rushing attempts per game this season but 15 per game over his last three, so the volume has been there as well. San Francisco ranks 18th in the NFL in run defense, allowing 112.2 rushing yards per game, and Patterson has gotten the job done recently against more formidable run defenses than this one.

George Kittle Over 69.5 Receiving Yards

Kittle has been on a monstrous tear recently, and over his past two games, he has combined for 22 catches for 332 yards. He’s the healthiest he’s been all season, and I’m shocked the sportsbooks have not adjusted this line further with how dominant he has been. Atlanta is allowing 247.5 passing yards per game, the twelfth-most in the NFL, so this is a matchup Kittle can exploit. I currently have Kittle projected for about 79 receiving yards in my Week 15 fantasy rankings, so I believe this line is about ten yards too low. He has the upside to double this yardage total on any given week, as well.

Matt Ryan Under 235.5 Passing Yards

The Falcons have struggled to adjust to life after Julio Jones, especially with Calvin Ridley away from the team working on his mental health. Matt Ryan has struggled to be productive this year and averages just 189.4 passing yards per game over his past five games. The 49ers allowed Joe Burrow to throw for 348 yards last week, but Dontae Johnson is expected to return this week to help shore up the secondary. San Francisco is still allowing just 213.2 passing yards per game, the sixth-fewest in the NFL. Ryan doesn’t have the offensive line to keep him upright against the likes of Nick Bosa and Arik Armstead, and he doesn’t have the pass-catchers to test this secondary downfield.

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