Ravens Odds to Win Super Bowl 2021
Ravens Odds to Win Super Bowl: +700
Ravens Win Total: 11.5
Ravens Odds to Win Division: -200
Ravens Odds to Win Conference: +330
Ravens Odds Analysis
The Ravens put together an impressive 2019-20 regular season, finishing with a record of 14-2, the best mark in the NFL. Unfortunately, they failed to obtain any kind of postseason success to go with it, losing in the Divisional Round at home to the Tennessee Titans. It was a disappointing end to what was otherwise a tremendous season.
It’s hard to top 14-2, but the Ravens seemed to only improve the roster in the offseason. The result as far as the Super Bowl LV betting odds at FanDuel Sportsbook are concerned is Baltimore being listed only behind the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs with +700 odds. Baltimore also has the 2nd shortest AFC Championship odds at +330. The Ravens season win total sits at 11.5, tied with the Chiefs for the highest win total line among all teams.
AFC North Betting Analysis
The Ravens are heavy betting market favorites when it comes to the odds to win the AFC North division. Baltimore’s -200 odds are well ahead of the Pittsburgh Steelers at +340 and Cleveland Browns at +480. The Cincinnati Bengals, not expected to be contenders this season, bring up the rear at +2600.
All three teams expected to battle it out atop the division are littered with talent on both sides of the ball. The Ravens return reigning NFL MVP Lamar Jackson at quarterback and added several intriguing rookies through the draft with the hopes of being even better than last year. The Steelers will return a loaded defense and will also get Ben Roethlisberger back under center after he missed last season with a shoulder injury. The Browns have all the big names back and brought in a new coaching staff to continue their quest for winning football in northeast Ohio.
Despite finishing with the league’s best record a season ago, the Ravens have the easiest strength of schedule in 2020-21 based on last year’s winning percentages. Part of that is likely due to playing the NFC East division, by far the NFL’s worst last year. The in-conference playthrough comes against the AFC South while a Week 3 Monday Night Football showdown against the Chiefs is one to circle on the calendar.
Ravens Offseason and Draft
To the untrained eye, the 2019-20 version of the Ravens didn’t display many on-field weaknesses. Even so, coach John Harbaugh and GM Eric DeCosta set out to address the low points on last year’s 14-win squad. As the 2020-21 season approaches, it appears they were successful in doing so.
The league’s top rushing offense from last year should only improve with the addition of rookie second-round pick J.K. Dobbins. He joins Mark Ingram as the primary backs behind Lamar Jackson, himself plenty capable of running the football. Gus Edwards and Justice Hill provide formidable depth.
When the Ravens do have to turn to the aerial attack, Jackson will find himself throwing to a familiar group of young but talented weapons. Marquise Brown had a terrific rookie season in 2019, hampered only by injuries. He will look to build on that this season while fellow second-year man Myles Boykin will aim to become a more regular fixture in the Baltimore passing game. Willie Snead, Chris Moore, and rookie third-rounder Devin Duvernay round out a deep receiving corps. Mark Andrews will again be a major red zone weapon at the tight end position.
The Ravens’ starting offensive line looks very similar to that of last season. The team resigned free agent center Matt Skura to ensure that the line would stay consistent in 2020-21. The front office had good reason to keep the unit together given the Ravens ranked 3rd in adjusted run blocking and 8th in pass blocking last season according to Football Outsiders. The team also drafted a pair of rookies to round out their depth in Tyre Phillips and Ben Bredeson.
Despite being the 4th ranked defense overall in terms of Football Outsiders DVOA metric, the Ravens were notably weak against the run, only ranking 20th of all 32 NFL teams. The analytics-heavy front office didn’t sleep on this in the offseason, setting out to improve the defensive front in particular. The result was acquiring Calais Campbell via trade and then signing free agent tackle Derek Wolfe. Two rookie linebackers will join Matt Judon in anchoring the middle of the field behind the new front in first-round pick Patrick Queen and third-rounder Malik Harrison. Baltimore’s secondary will once again be an area of strength with corners Marcus Peters, Marlon Humphrey, and Jimmy Smith comprising one of the best trios in the league. Safety Earl Thomas is also one of the NFL’s best.
-Running Game and Unique Offensive System
-Defense Littered with Talent at All Levels
-Inconsistent Passing Attack
-Vulnerable When Playing from Behind
-Turnover at the Linebacker Positions
-Lack of a True Dominant Receiver
The Ravens figure to once again be near the top of the NFL standings at season’s end. The team adequately addressed the most glaring needs from last year’s promising campaign. Baltimore is a legitimate playoff and Super Bowl contender once again in 2020-21.
When it comes to betting on Ravens futures offerings, the one thing that scares me the most is the passing attack. As good as Lamar Jackson was last season in capturing the NFL MVP award, he has now crumbled in each of his two playoff games when he has needed to turn into a passing quarterback. The Ravens aren’t a team built to play from behind and that is troublesome. While they are in the hunt to both win the AFC and hoist the Lombardi Trophy, they aren’t my favorite play on the board in either instance.
When it comes to the AFC North, laying $2 on the Ravens is also not something I’m rushing to do given the talent both the Steelers and Browns have. Some regression from a 14-win season should be expected, and I’m not leaning strongly to the Ravens going over or under the win total line of 11.5 either. If I did have to pick one Ravens future to bet, at this point, it would be +700 to win Super Bowl LV.
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