Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins Player Props (11/11/21)
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Last week, the Ravens escaped with a win in a shootout against the Vikings after trailing by double digits multiple times, while the Dolphins escaped a slop fest against the Texans that featured nine total turnovers. Neither of those teams truly deserved to add a win to their record, but here we are. These teams have some enticing players on both sides of the ball who should be in consideration for player props this week. Let’s take a look at the best betting angles for this Thursday Night Football showdown.
Lamar Jackson Over 303.5 Passing + Rushing Yards
Not every sportsbook has this prop available, but it’s one of my favorites this week if you can find it. Lamar Jackson is averaging 351.1 passing + rushing yards per game and has hit this number in seven of his eight games this season. The one game he didn’t hit the line was in a blowout win over the Chargers, a game where the Ravens didn’t need to do much offensively to win. While the Dolphins aren’t a prolific offense by any stretch, I have a lot of confidence in the Ravens pushing the pace and scoring plenty in this game. Miami’s defense has been one of the worst in the league both against the pass and run, making this an excellent spot for Jackson to produce in both facets.
Thursday Night Player Props Video
Myles Gaskin Under 41.5 Rushing Yards
Myles Gaskin saw a season-high 72% of snaps last week in a positive game script but only finished with 34 rushing yards against the Texans, who are allowing 136.9 rushing yards per game, the second-most in the NFL. Gaskin is averaging just 34.2 rushing yards per game over his last five outings and has surpassed this line just once over that stretch. Baltimore allows just 91.8 rushing yards per game, the fifth-fewest in the NFL, and the projected spread suggests the Dolphins will be throwing the ball more frequently as they work to overcome a deficit. There are too many factors for Gaskin to overcome in this situation.
Devonta Freeman Anytime TD Scorer: +135
This prop bet is recommended only if Latavius Murray does not play, which he is currently not expected to do. As of Tuesday, Murray is not back at practice, and he has not played since Week 6. In the meantime, Devonta Freeman has become the top running back for Baltimore as he has played on 44.5% of snaps over the past three weeks. Freeman has scored a touchdown in each of those games and now faces a Miami defense that has allowed nine rushing touchdowns this season. With so much attention paid to Lamar Jackson in the red zone, there are easy opportunities for touchdowns for the RBs, and if you’re getting anything better than even money on Freeman to score, I’m taking it.
Marquise Brown Longest Reception Over 23.5 Yards
The Lineups team loves Thursday Night Football longest reception props, and we’re rolling with another one this week. Marquise Brown has averaged a long reception of 35.1 yards this season and has gone over this line in six of his eight games this season. The Miami secondary has struggled this season and is allowing the seventh-highest rate of explosive pass plays. With an excellent matchup on tap, I’m taking Brown to continue breaking off long plays with another explosive output in primetime.