Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Player Props (12/5/21)
Contents
For the first time in Ben Roethlisberger’s career, the Ravens are favored to win in Pittsburgh. Baltimore has ripped off an 8-3 record to put them in the driver’s seat for the top seed in the AFC. It hasn’t always been pretty for the Ravens, but they consistently find ways to win games. The Steelers, meanwhile, seem to be falling apart on both sides of the ball. There will be plenty of betting intrigue for this game, and the player props in this matchup represent a ton of value, as well. You can use the player prop search tool below to find the best odds in your betting market for this Ravens vs. Steelers matchup.
Devonta Freeman Anytime TD Scorer: +140
I’m surprised that you can still get plus money on this prop as Devonta Freeman has scored four touchdowns over his last six games. Latavius Murray’s return to the lineup impacts Freeman’s role somewhat, but Freeman still had three red-zone carries even with Murray active the previous week. The Steelers run defense is starting to disintegrate in recent weeks, and they have allowed 133.1 rushing yards per game, the fifth-most in the NFL. You can target a yardage prop for Freeman, but Murray may take a more significant piece of the pie this week. However, I believe you can bank on the Ravens getting a couple of rushing touchdowns, and one of those should go to Freeman, the team’s lead back.
Najee Harris Under 58.5 Rushing Yards
For several reasons, the Steelers have been unable to establish the run lately, and Harris has averaged just 31 rushing yards per game over the past two weeks. Now, he has to face the Ravens, who have allowed just 84.2 rushing yards per game, the second-fewest in the NFL. Only one starting running back, Joe Mixon, has beat their rushing yardage line against the Ravens this year. Behind one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL, Harris is averaging just 3.6 yards per rush attempt. Harris certainly has the talent to break off long runs, but the combination of the poor offensive line, brutal matchup, and likely unfavorable game script has me on the under here.
Marquise Brown Over 4.5 Receptions
With the Ravens losing J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards, their run game hasn’t been the same as in recent years, and they’ve become more of a pass-heavy offense. That has benefitted Marquise Brown significantly, and the standout wide receiver has 5+ receptions in four straight games to bring his hit rate on this prop to seven out of ten games on the season. Brown has averaged just 2.5 receptions per game in his career against the Steelers, but their defense has slipped lately, and Brown has shown remarkable consistency this season.
Pat Freiermuth Over 3.5 Receptions
The Ravens have struggled against tight ends this season as they have allowed 69 receiving yards per game to the position, the fourth-most in the NFL. Pat Freiermuth has seen his involvement increase significantly over the second half of the season, and he has 4+ receptions in six straight games and seven of his eleven games this season. Ben Roethlisberger can’t consistently push the ball downfield anymore, so Freiermuth has taken on a massive role as a dependent short-area pass-catcher. You will likely have to drink significant juice on this line, but I’m very confident Freiermuth gets to four or more receptions.