Chicago Bears Vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Player Props & Picks (9/24/23)
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The Bears travel to face the Chiefs this week, and we have you covered with plenty of content for this game. In this article, find player props for the Bears vs. Chiefs game with picks featuring Justin Fields,
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Chicago Bears vs. Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Picks
While the Bears and Chiefs have a current spread of 12.5 points favoring the home team, getting in on some player props can be a fun way to increase the action. In this article, I’ll break down three of my favorite player props from this game. Let’s get to work.
Justin Fields Over 55.5 Rushing Yards (-114 FanDuel)
There haven’t been many positives for the Bears during their 0-2 start to the season, and Justin Fields’s play has been very disappointing. While his inconsistent passing isn’t necessarily shocking, it’s been his lack of running that’s a surprise – he had over seven designed runs per game after Week 5 last year and has just four through two games this season.
I believe we’re going to see more “backyard football” from Fields and the Bears this week, and Fields spoke to that during his press conference. “My goal this week is to say F it and just play football. That’s when I play my best when I am out there playing free.”
Fields went over this number in 10 of 11 games to close out last season, and he averaged 86 rushing yards per game over that stretch. We’re getting a good buy low opportunity for Fields, and while the Chiefs have had an excellent defense to start this season, I believe Fields can find success on the run in this game.
Jerick McKinnon Over 14.5 Receiving Yards (-115 BetMGM)
The Bears have allowed the most receiving yards to the running back position so far this season. In Week 1, Aaron Jones caught two passes for 86 yards against them, and in Week 2, Rachaad White had five catches for 30 yards. It’s easy to see that trend continuing against a Chiefs team that utilizes its running backs in the passing game.
The Chiefs’ top running back Isiah Pacheco is currently listed as questionable for this game, which is notable here. Pacheco has been surprisingly taking some passing game work from McKinnon as he’s run more routes in each of the first two games. If Pacheco is out, expect a heavy workload for McKinnon.
Even if Pacheco plays, I still like this line for McKinnon in what should be a get right game for the Chiefs offense against a dreadful Bears defense. McKinnon went over this number in seven of ten games to close out last season, and he hit the over last week, as well. McKinnon’s anytime touchdown prop could be worth a shot here, too.
Roschon Johnson Over 40.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-110 BetMGM)
It’s only a matter of time before Roschon Johnson becomes the lead back in Chicago. Johnson was an underrated draft prospect as a result of sharing the backfield with Bijan Robinson at Texas, but who wouldn’t be overshadowed by Bijan? Johnson is an excellent prospect in his own right and he’s already showing it.
Johnson has gone over this number in two straight games, and his snap share should be on the rise. In Week 1, he played on 39% of the snaps, which rose to 42% in Week 2. D’Onta Foreman didn’t see the field last week, and it appears to be a full split between Khalil Herbert and Johnson for the foreseeable future.
The rookie running back is averaging 5.8 yards per carry, so the efficiency has been there, and he’ll see work on third downs by virtue of being a polished pass blocker. That’s rare for a rookie back. Johnson’s snaps should continue to rise, and I believe the books have yet to fully account for how talented he is.
Okay Roschon Johnson okay pic.twitter.com/Sxgqt90xav
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) September 11, 2023