Bears Vs. Packers (9/18/22) Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay Strategy + Picks

We’re onto Week 2 of the NFL season, and we have a game between two of the NFL’s oldest rivals on deck for Sunday Night Football. Surprisingly, the Bears enter the game 1-0 while the Packers desperately need a win after starting 0-1. This article will focus on the best options for this game if you are looking to build a Same Game Parlay.

Same Game Parlays (SGPs) provide a massive profit boost on any given NFL game by allowing you to combine multiple wagers. Keep in mind that correlation is king here as we want to find outcomes that are likely to happen in conjunction with one another. Let’s dive into the best options for this game on Sunday night.

*Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook

Bears Vs. Packers NFL Week 2 Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay

With the Packers being ten-point favorites, we were already likely going to be looking to the running backs for value in this game. However, that’s even more the case after the Bears’ run defense allowed the tenth-highest rushing success rate in Week 1 despite the 49ers showing no threat of a passing game for much of the afternoon in the brutal weather conditions.

Both Matt LaFleur and Aaron Rodgers spoke to their desire to get more touches for Aaron Jones in Week 2, and I’m inclined to believe them. It’s incredibly un-analytical, but Jones has a habit of popping up with 200-yard scrimmage games with multiple touchdown scores from time to time, and this feels like this could be one of those outings in primetime.

I like Jones to go over 60 rushing yards in this game, and you can get plus value on that prop at FanDuel at +116 odds. I’m also taking him for an anytime touchdown scorer prop at -125. Finally, I’ll add in the Packers -2.5 on an alternate spread and the under 41.5 points in the game, as I believe they will win in a low-scoring affair.

Here’s the way our SGP lays out from there:

  • Aaron Jones 60+ Rushing Yards (+116)
  • Aaron Jones Anytime TD Scorer (-125)
  • Green Bay Packers -2.5 (-430)
  • Under 41.5 Total Points (-110)

Final SGP Value: +724 ($10 wins $72.49)

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NFL Week 2 Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay Bankroll Builder

Each week, I’m also featuring a bankroll builder parlay in these articles where I put together low-odds props to get back to overall even money. In this game, I’m taking a different approach as I’ll look to key into what I believe will be a low-scoring game without much in the way of offensive fireworks.

First, I’m looking for alternate lines on my leans for the spread and over/under. For the purposes of this bankroll builder, I’m using the Packers -2.5 (-430) and under 50.5 points (-400). As I mentioned above, I believe the Packers win in a low-scoring game, and I’d obviously be more comfortable laying the points at 2.5 rather than 10.

Those two bets bring us to -165 value, so we’re getting close. The above SGP has Aaron Jones at 60 rushing yards and a touchdown, but let’s use a lower alternate line for him for our bankroll builder. You can get Jones at 40+ rushing yards at -300. Jones has hit that number in five straight games and in 12 of his last 17, so the historical context makes sense.

Put it all together, and we’re looking at the following bankroll builder:

  • Green Bay Packers -2.5 (-430)
  • Under 50.5 Total Points (-400)
  • Aaron Jones 40+ Rushing Yards (-300))

Full Bankroll Builder Odds: +104 ($10 wins $10.40)
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I've been writing about sports for Lineups since the beginning of 2020 and on my own website since 2018. In May 2021, I graduated from the University of Michigan with a degree in sport management. As the United States embarks on an exciting journey towards the legalization of sports betting, I'm thrilled to have the opportunity to cover industry news, NFL and NBA odds, and more.

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