Bears Vs. Patriots (10/24/22) Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay Strategy + SGP Picks

On Monday Night Football in Week 7, we’ll be watching the Patriots and Bears square off. With a low total of 39.5 points, these teams aren’t expected to score very many points, but that doesn’t mean we can’t find value in the player props market. You can check out my player props article for my official plays in this game, but this article will discuss the best options for a Same Game Parlay (SGP) for this primetime game.

SGPs allow you to combine multiple wagers across various markets to build a parlay with a bigger payout. On FanDuel, you can choose from alternate spreads and totals, player props, and game props to build your SGP. Remember, correlation is king and we want to find outcomes that make sense in an overall game script for the game. Let’s get to work.

*Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook

NFL Week 7 Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay

The first side I’m taking in this SGP is an under on an alternate points total. There isn’t a ton of value left in the number at 39.5 points after it was bet down heavily, but we can add an alternate number to our SGP since we’re boosting the odds with player props. FanDuel is offering under 41.5 points at -158 odds at the moment, and that’s a solid look as that covers a key number for us.

In addition, I’m taking an alternate spread for the Patriots who I believe should have no problem winning this game. The reintroduction of Mac Jones to the starting lineup gives me some pause in laying the full 8.5 points as he could be dealing with some rust out of the gates, but I like getting New England at -2.5 at -350 odds. That’s a lot of juice, but we’re combining it with other props to get us to a better final payout.

The first player prop I’m taking for this SGP is on Rhamondre Stevenson to score a touchdown at -135 odds. Stevenson has 15 red-zone touches this season, which leads the team. While Damien Harris is expected to play this week, he’s still recovering from his injury, and we should expect Stevenson to be the leading rusher for the team. As such, I’m also taking Stevenson over 63.5 rushing yards for this SGP.

Next, I’m taking Cole Kmet under 21.5 receiving yards for this SGP. I prefer the under on his receptions at 2.5, but FanDuel doesn’t allow you to put receptions props into your SGP. Instead, we’ll take Kmet’s yardage prop. The Patriots are last in the NFL in two-high safety usage per TruMedia at 17%, meaning tight ends have less success as the middle of the field is less open against them. Kmet has only hit the over on this total in two of his six games this season.

If we put all four of those sides together, we’re left with significant value on a five-leg SGP for this game. Check it out:

• Under 41.5 Total Points (-156)
• New England Patriots -2.5 (-350)
• Rhamondre Stevenson Over 63.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
• Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-135)
• Cole Kmet Under 21.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Full SGP Odds: +1022 ($10 wins $102.30)