Cincinnati Bengals Vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Player Props & Picks (1/22/23)
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Get Cincinnati Bengals Vs. Buffalo Bills player prop picks & odds for the (1/22/23) matchup
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Cincinnati Bengals Vs. Buffalo Bills Player Prop Picks
A few weeks ago, we were set to watch two powerhouse teams in the Bengals and Bills square off on Monday Night Football before safety Damar Hamlin nearly lost his life on the field. With Hamlin now in stable condition, the Bills host the Bengals this time around with much more on the line in the playoffs.
You can find full coverage for this and every Divisional Round game on the Lineups site and YouTube channel. In this article, I’ll cover the player props I’m most interested in from a value perspective. Please use the player prop search tool above to compare odds from different sportsbooks and ensure you’re getting the best value you can. Let’s get to work.
Josh Allen Over 47.5 Rushing Yards (-115 DraftKings)
Josh Allen had a career-high 124 carries in the regular season, and his legs are one of the best weapons for this Bills offense. They tend to save his legs for their most important games, as well. Over the last two years, Allen averages 9.4 rushes for 60 yards against playoff teams compared to 5.7 rushes for 37 yards against non-playoff teams.
The Bengals have struggled against mobile quarterbacks at times this season, and the Ravens had a ton of success running an option offense with Tyler Huntley last week. Huntley finished the game with 54 rushing yards, and now that we’re into crunch time of the playoffs, Allen should be in a similar territory.
I gave out this prop on our main page at 42.5 rushing yards, and it’s since moved up considerably across the market. However, I’d still be comfortable playing the over at the current number of 47.5. I’m also personally playing some smaller half and quarter unit plays on alternate lines for plus juice.
Devin Singletary Under 39.5 Rushing Yards (-114 FanDuel)
I played an under on Devin Singletary’s rushing yards last week, and I was right, to a degree. James Cook had 12 rushing attempts to Singletary’s 10 like I thought might happen. However, Singletary finished with 48 rushing yards and went just over his prop for the game.
I don’t have the stomach to run it back this week, but it’s telling that the number for the prop has dropped here. The Bengals’ run defense has been a different proposition with nose tackle D.J. Reader on the field as they allow just 3.6 YPC with him on the field and 4.6 with him off it.
Add James Cook’s increasing workload and Josh Allen’s expected heavy rushing production to the mix, and there’s not a lot left for Singletary. You could have had this prop at 43.5 yards earlier in the week, and at the current number, some of the value has been sapped, but I don’t hate it.
Tyler Boyd Over 38.5 Receiving Yards (-110 BetMGM)
When the Bills and Bengals were set to play in that Monday Night Football game, I recommended Tyler Boyd’s receiving yardage prop as a potential play. Boyd was set to be heavily involved in that game as he scored an early touchdown in the first quarter prior to the game being canceled.
Boyd has a great matchup against Taron Johnson, the Bills’ slot corner who allowed a 71.7% catch rate and a 107.8 passer rating during the regular season. With Tre’Davious White spending time against Ja’Marr Chase on the perimeter, Joe Burrow could look to the slot more often.
The Bengals will need to emphasize the short-area, quick passing game with their offensive line completely falling apart, and that’s Boyd’s bread and butter. Boyd only went over this number in one of his final five games of the season, but this could still be a great buy-low spot for him.