Best NFL Player Prop Bets for Week 18

The NFL Week 18 schedule puts a cap on the regular season with a premier matchup between the Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings on Sunday night headlining the stakes in terms of playoff positioning. The action kicks off Saturday with a pair of AFC North rivalry bouts and continues Sunday when the remaining 28 teams play their final games. 

We’re focusing on Sunday to find our five best NFL Week 18 player props, with a couple of options to take on the over, under, or to consider using in a same-game parlay at your favorite sportsbook apps.

Amon-Ra St. Brown Week 18 Player Prop Bet (DET vs. MIN)

Over 76.5 receiving yards: Over -115 on BetRivers

• The Vikings stack the box and force opponents to beat them through the air, a formula that should continue in a rematch with the run-heavy Lions. When these teams battled in Week 6, St. Brown benefitted from that pass-funnel approach with 112 yards on eight receptions. He’s averaging 120.7 receiving yards over his last three outings against Minnesota and will have an easier time getting open out of the slot against bigger and slower cornerbacks. St. Brown proved to be a clutch playoff performer last year, and this game has massive stakes, with the winner earning a first-round bye and home field throughout the playoffs. 

Zach Charbonnet Week 18 Player Prop Bet (SEA @ LAR)

Over 20.5 receiving yards: Over -115 on DraftKings

• The Rams plan to play their backups on both sides of the ball in their season finale, while the Seahawks are hoping to go out with a win and help Geno Smith earn some of his contract incentives. Smith needs to maintain a high completion rate while topping 186 yards, so he should check down some passes to Charbonnet for easy yardage. Charbonnet has run routes on over 60% of dropbacks and played on over 75% of snaps in three of his last four outings with Kenneth Walker (calf) mostly inactive. Walker will be out for the finale, and the Seahawks might see what they have in Charbonnet as their potential running back of the future. 

Breece Hall Week 18 Player Prop Bet (NYJ vs. MIA)

Under 51.5  rushing yards: Under -120

• This could be the final game for Aaron Rodgers, so we can expect a lot of pass attempts from the Jets quarterback. Hall has been used more as a receiver than a runner lately while averaging just 3.8 yards per carry on 11 rushes per game over his last three outings. He’s played roughly 50% of snaps since he missed Week 14 with a hamstring injury and could cede more work to rookies Braelon Allen and Isaiah Davis in the finale. Miami needs a win to have any shot at a playoff berth, and the Dolphins’ defense has been excellent against the run lately, shutting down the Packers, Texans, and 49ers rushing attacks. The Dolphins haven’t allowed a 50-yard rusher since they faced Kyren Williams in Week 10. 

Malik Nabers Week 18 Player Prop Bet (NYG @ PHI)

Over 6.5 receptions: Over -140

• The Giants have been feeding Nabers double-digit targets in almost every game down the stretch and should give the rookie some high-percentage looks in an attempt to keep him happy heading into the offseason. The Eagles have nothing to play for, so Nabers should run routes against backup cornerbacks. He caught seven balls against Atlanta’s top corner A.J. Terrell — although it took 14 targets to get there — then caught seven of eight targets for 174 yards against the Colts last week. Nabers leads all receivers in target share (35.3%) this season and is averaging 11.8 targets over his last five outings. Brian Daboll should scheme ways to get his best player the ball as he coaches for his job. 

Michael Penix Jr. Week 18 Player Prop Bet (ATL vs. CAR)

Under 223.5 passing yards: Under -114 on BetRivers

• The Falcons need a win and a Bucs loss to clinch the NFC South, so they will likely play things conservatively with their rookie quarterback. Penix Jr. got to 223 passing yards in his second career start in an overtime shootout at Washington but seems less likely to get to 35 pass attempts against a Panthers team that can’t stop the run. The Panthers have allowed the highest percentage (44.6%) of yards via the run this season, and that number is up to 46% over their last three games. Penix is averaging just 5.6 adjusted yards per attempt with a 59.7% completion rate and an 18% completion rate on deep throws in limited action this season.