Best NFL Player Props For Thanksgiving And Black Friday

Before NFL Week 13 action kicks off in earnest on Sunday, there are four games on Thanksgiving and Black Friday. Starting at 12:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, the Lions will host the Bears, then the Giants will be at the Cowboys, and the Packers will host the Dolphins in a Thanksgiving nightcap at 8:20 p.m. The next day, the Chiefs will host the Raiders at 3 p.m. ET in the second annual Black Friday game. 

Check below for some NFL player props to consider for those two days at your choice of sportsbook app

Jahmyr Gibbs Week 13 Player Prop Bet (DET vs. CHI)

Anytime touchdown: Jahmyr Gibbs -145 on FanDuel

  • The Lions have the best offensive line in football and are facing a Bears team that has coughed up the seventh-most rushing yards per game (111.1) to running backs this season, along with 10 rushing TDs to the position. Gibbs has taken a slight lead over David Montgomery in a timeshare for the best offense in the NFC, and Monty is dealing with a shoulder injury that could limit him on a short week. Gibbs is averaging 110 scrimmage yards per game over his last three outings and leads all running backs in EPA (expected points added) per play this season. He’s scored four touchdowns over his last three home games, and he scored in both matchups against the Bears last season. 

D.J. Moore Week 13 Player Prop Bet (CHI @ DET)

Over 4.5 receptions: Over 4.5 (+100) on DraftKings

  • The Bears have reshaped their offense under interim OC Thomas Moore, leading to much higher completion rates for Caleb Williams and better outcomes for his receivers. D.J. Moore has caught all seven targets thrown his way in both of Thomas Moore’s first two games calling plays, with many of those looks coming at or near the line of scrimmage. Expect another quick-hitting approach against a Detroit secondary that has been solid in terms of avoiding big plays. Since the Lions often race out to big leads and are 10-point favorites at home, we could see the Bears pass a lot while playing from behind. Detroit is facing the second-highest pass-play rate (64.5%) over its last three wins and is giving up 71.5% of yards via the pass when playing at home. Moore caught 13 of 19 targets when facing the Lions last season with struggling quarterbacks under center. 

Tommy DeVito Week 13 Player Prop Bets (NYG @ DAL)

Under 177.5 passing yards: Under 177.5 (-120) on Fliff

  • This handicap goes beyond the potential matchup and the field to include the inner workings of the Giants front office. Executives cut Daniel Jones and advocated to start DeVito over veteran Drew Lock in Week 12 because it saves the organization on contract incentives. DeVito is dealing with a forearm injury that could prevent him from starting on Thanksgiving, or he could give it a go before getting pulled at some point because the Giants can avoid contract incentives for Lock when he comes on in relief instead of starting. Even if DeVito plays the whole game, he’s not a great bet to top 177 passing yards against a Cowboys defense that is getting healthier with DaRon Bland back at cornerback and Micah Parsons leading a fierce pass rush. Dallas dominated DeVito in a home game last year, holding him to 86 passing yards on a 52% completion rate. His offensive tackle, Jermaine Eluemunor, is likely out, and the Giants appeared to quit in Week 12 after the front office made that cost-saving move with Jones. 

Under 0.5 passing touchdowns: Under 0.5 (+130)

  • If DeVito gets benched at halftime, or departs due to injury, he obviously won’t have as many opportunities to find the end zone. The Giants didn’t score until Devin Singletary rushed for a touchdown in garbage time in a home game against the Bucs last week. Nearly two-thirds of touchdowns scored by visiting teams in Dallas this season have come on the ground. The Dallas defense has improved in the red zone lately, allowing a total of four passing touchdowns over its last three games. 

CeeDee Lamb Week 13 Player Prop Bet (DAL vs. NYG)

Over 66.5 receiving yards: Over 66.5 (-117) on Caesars

  • This line is relatively low for a true alpha receiver in a pass-heavy offense. Cooper Rush struggled in his first start of the year but has been solid over his last two outings, completing 28 passes for 300.5 yards per game during a 1-1 stretch. Lamb has drawn double-digit targets in 10 straight outings and caught 10 of 12 looks for exactly 67 yards last week, but he had another decent gain called back due to a penalty. As indicated above, the Giants could quit on the organization again, but even if they give a full effort, Deonte Banks allowed 76 yards while partially shadowing Lamb in Week 4, and the Giants’ top cornerback suffered a rib injury in Week 12. Banks is allowing a 131.7 passer rating in his coverage this season, and Rush is locking onto Lamb whenever possible.  

Jakobi Meyers Week 13 Player Prop Bet (LV @ KC)

Over 5.5 receptions: Over 5.5 (+108) on FanDuel

  • Books are offering plus money on Meyers to hit his average in this spot, as he’s logging 5.9 receptions on 8.3 targets per game this season. The elusive receiver has averaged 7.3 catches on 10.3 targets over his last three division games, including six catches against the Chiefs. The Raiders are turning to Aidan O’Connell (thumb) but should maintain a pass-heavy approach since their rushing attack has been among the worst in modern NFL history. The Raiders have the highest pass-play rate (73%) by far over their past three games, and Meyers is logging 94% route participation in that span. He could often line up against struggling nickelback Chamarri Conner, a converted safety who has missed six tackles and coughed up 12 receptions in his coverage over the past two weeks. 
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