Best Player Prop Bets for NFL Week 16 Sunday

The NFL Week 16 schedule features 12 contests scheduled for Sunday. The Philadelphia Eagles will try to clinch the NFC East with a win at the Washington Commanders, the Los Angeles Rams and Arizona Cardinals need road wins to keep pace in the NFC West, and MVP favorite Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills are huge favorites ahead of a home game against the New England Patriots. 

We’re picking our five best NFL Week 16 player props to consider for Sunday, with a couple of options to take on the over or the under, or to consider using in a same-game parlay at your favorite sportsbook apps. 

Cooper Kupp Week 16 Player Prop Bet (LAR @ NYJ)

Over 56.5 receiving yards: Over 56.5 (-110)

• Buy the dip on Cooper Kupp after he posted a rare goose egg during a rain-soaked, low-scoring affair in San Francisco last Thursday. Kupp is now averaging 4.3 receptions for 53 yards per game over his last six divisional games, versus 6.5 receptions for 98.3 yards per game over his last four nonconference games, indicating how difficult it can be for AFC teams to plan for the Rams’ versatile receiver. Puka Nacua has been hogging targets in recent weeks, but he’ll be shadowed by elite cornerback Sauce Gardner, potentially forcing more looks toward Kupp. The Jets’ defense has been poorly coached under Jeff Ulbrich and runs a predictable Cover-1 scheme that could allow Sean McVay to scheme up easy looks for Kupp in a potential bounce-back effort. 

Joe Burrow Week 16 Player Prop Bet (CIN vs. CLE)

Under 279.5 passing yards: Under 279.5 (-110) on Bet365

• Burrow has been putting up massive numbers in shootouts over his last few starts. But the Browns are turning to Dorian Thompson-Robinson this week, indicating a run-heavy, conservative approach in an attempt to bleed the clock and keep Burrow off the field. The Browns have been turning it over at an insane rate with Jameis Winston under center, and DTR might not be much better. Whether he struggles to move the ball or turns it over, Thompson-Robinson should give the Bengals short fields, which would hurt Burrow’s chances to approach 300 yards. When the Bengals rolled the Raiders by a score of 35-24 in Week 9, Burrow finished with 251 yards despite completing 27 passes on 39 attempts with five touchdowns. He’s averaged just 183.5 yards per game over his last four outings against a Browns defense that has played better lately and is allowing 206.7 passing yards per game over its last three contests. 

Brian Thomas Jr. Week 16 Player Prop Bet (JAX @ LV)

Over 71.5 receiving yards: Over 71.5 (-115) on DraftKings

• The Jaguars rookie has been one of the few bright spots in a lost season, and he’s seeing a huge workload down the stretch. Thomas Jr. is averaging 89 receiving yards on 136 air yards while drawing 12 targets per game over his last three outings, and he’s drawing a 32.8% first-read share since Week 10. Mac Jones is force-feeding the ball toward his top option, and the Jags have almost no running game, leading to a 72% pass-play rate over their last three games. The Raiders are also passing at a very high rate (74%) in that span, and the Jaguars’ pass defense is among the worst in the NFL, so there should be opportunities for Thomas Jr. to pop some big plays in another shootout after he went for 105 yards and two touchdowns last week against the Jets. 

Kenneth Walker Week 16 Player Prop Bet (SEA vs. MIN)

Under 84.5 rushing + receiving yards: Under 73.5 (-115) on DraftKings

• Walker is expected to return from a two-game absence due to a calf injury, yet there are no guarantees that he sees the same workload after Zach Charbonnet impressed in Seattle’s last two outings. Charbonnet has out-performed Walker in terms of yards created per touch, and he was playing on approximately 40% of offensive snaps before Walker’s injury. Charbonnet could be very involved in the passing game if the Seahawks (+3) fall behind against a red-hot Vikings team. The Minnesota defense has limited backs as runners and receivers, and Seattle’s offensive line is among the poorest run-blocking units in the league. Walker has averaged just 37.4 rushing yards per game at 2.7 yards per carry over his previous five home games. 

Bijan Robinson Week 16 Player Prop Bet (ATL vs. NYG)

Over 114.5 rushing + receiving yards: Over 114.5 (-120)

• The Falcons are turning to rookie quarterback Michael Penix in a move that should inject some life into their offense. Yet the game plan should remain conservative with Atlanta (-9) heavily favored at home against a weak Giants team. That should mean a healthy dose of Robinson, who has logged 20-plus carries in four of his last five games and is averaging 106.3 rushing yards over his last three outings against a few solid defenses. Now he faces a Giants team that has checked out for the year and is very vulnerable against power rushing attacks with Dexter Lawrence (elbow) on injured reserve. The Giants also have allowed the sixth-most receiving yards per game (40.2) to running backs, and Robinson is averaging 29.4 receiving yards per game on top of his huge workload as a runner.