Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers NBA Player Props & Picks Tonight (11/9/23)

The Milwaukee Bucks meet the Indiana Pacers this Thursday (11/9/23). Get Bucks vs. Pacers player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.

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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers Player Prop Picks

Which players will thrive in the Bucks vs. Pacers matchup?

Giannis Antetokounmpo First Field Goal (+450 BMGM)

Antetokounmpo remains one of the top scorers in the NBA; he’s averaging 24.4 points on a 52.5 field goal percentage. The former Finals MVP took Milwaukee’s first field goal attempt at the highest rate last year, and he has scored Milwaukee’s first bucket in five of seven games to start the year. 

Antetokounmpo ranks second across the NBA in restricted area field goal attempts, and he faces a Pacers squad that has allowed the most restricted area field goal attempts per game. The Bucks big man is primed to explode here against Indiana’s poor defense. 

It’s worth noting that this play is “first field goal”, which doesn’t count free throws. FanDuel offers first basket (counts free throws), but his odds are at +290 there. Based on the odds dip, it’s worth the risk of missing out on Antetokounmpo free throws to me.

For the bet to be profitable in the long run, he needs to score the first field goal roughly 18 percent of the time. 

Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 1.5 Blocks (+165 Bet365)

Because opponents are easily driving past Milwaukee’s perimeter defenders, Antetokounmpo is teleporting all over the court as a help defender. Indiana ranks second across the NBA in drives per game and will play at a lightning-quick pace, so the former Defensive Player of the Year will have plenty of opportunities to rack up blocks coming from the weak side. 

In addition, over half of Obi Toppin’s field goal attempts come from within three feet of the basket. Indiana has given up the third most blocks per game to opposing power forwards too. 

Based on the rapid pace and Indiana’s shot profile, look for the Bucks superstar to collect two blocks. He must do so roughly 38 percent of the time. 

Tyrese Haliburton Over 2.5 3PM (-135 DK)

Haliburton is a career 40.6 3PT% shooter, and he’s pumped his volume to a career high 7.3 attempts per game this season. Whether it’s a pull-up three or a catch-and-shoot jumper, Haliburton can knock it down from distance through a variety of paths. 

He faces a Bucks defense that ranks 22nd defending the three-point line in terms of opponent shot quality (per ShotQuality) and has given up the 12th most three-point attempts per game. They have also allowed the 4th most above the break attempts, which is where Haliburton typically shoots from. 

He needs to hit the over about 57 percent of the time.

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2021-22 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs about analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions and NBA Analysis Network.

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