2021 Buffalo Bills Betting Preview: Odds, Lines, & Predictions

2021 Buffalo Bills Betting Preview

The Buffalo Bills might be America’s team as all they do is play exciting football and win. Their fans are some of the best in the league and they got a chance to show how many tables they can smash tables at the tailgate because the Bills were always in primetime games. Buffalo had its best football in decades which coincidentally coincided with Tom Brady leaving New England, funny how that worked out. We all know that Brady was scared of the Bills and for good reason. The Bills are led by rocket-armed quarterback Josh Allen and he has a host of weapons at the Bills’ armory.

Allen gets to throw to great weapons like receptions leader Stephon Diggs as well as Gabriel Davis, Dawson Knox, and Cole Beasley. The Bills’ running game was relatively weak last season, so they signed Matt Brieda to try and juice up the running game alongside Devin Singletary and Zack Moss. Their defense also regressed last season, so Sean McDermott better gets the best out of Jerry Hughes, Ed Oliver, Tremaine Edmunds, Jordan Poyer, and Tre’Davious White if they want to win the Super Bowl.

2020 Buffalo Bills Team Stats

  • Points For: 512
  • Points Against: 382
  • Passing Yards Per Game: 288.8
  • Rushing Yards Per Game: 107.7
  • Passing Yards Allowed Per Game: 232.9
  • Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game: 119.6

Key Offseason Transactions

Some minor tweaks that needed to be made to improve this Buffalo Bills team. Last season their offense carried their team as they were top 5 in the league while the defense did enough to win them games. The real issues with the Bills were their running game and pass-rushing and they addressed both in the offseason. They signed RB Matt Breida to the roster to add some speed and physical running to their backfield.

They also drafted DE Gregory Rousseau out of Miami University to add game-breaking speed on the outside. Other than that the Bills don’t really have weaknesses and what they really need to do is take the next leap forward as a team if they want to beat the Chiefs and other top teams in the AFC.

buffalo bills2020 Buffalo Bills Betting Stats

  • Record: 15-4
  • MOV: 6.8
  • ATS: 11-5
  • ATS +/-: +4.6
  • Over/Under: 12-4
  • Total +/-: +11

2021 Buffalo Bills Betting Outlook

The Bills were one of the most profitable teams to bet on last season and they should continue to be this way in 2021. The Bills played an exciting brand of football where instead of running the ball down your throat and scoring that way, they opted to throw on everyone and score 50 that way.

You don’t get to be 12-5 on the over/under points totals by accident and the Bills have almost the exact same team this year, so don’t expect Bills’ overs cashing to change unless Vegas has finally caught up. The Bills are just fun to watch as they can score on everyone and have a defense that is turnover happy, which just gives the offense more chances to dunk on the opponent.

2021 Buffalo Bills Super Bowl Odds

The Bills have the third-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +1100 or 11 to 1. The only two teams with better odds are the two teams in the Super Bowl last year which are the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs. Speaking of the Chiefs, they are the team between the Bills and the Super Bowl as they road to the Super Bowl on the AFC side will most likely go through Kansas City.

Last year, the Bills played the Chiefs in the AFC championship and the Bills looked lost and hopeless in a 14 point loss. Josh Allen was trying to do too much and ended up having one of his worst games of the season. Both the Bills and the Chiefs are looking for revenge in this upcoming season and it should be interesting to see who wins as you should expect them to cross paths in the playoffs.

2021 Buffalo Bills Playoff Odds

The oddsmakers expect the Bills to be back in the playoffs this season as the odds that they do return are -333. The odds that they don’t are +260 and I agree with the oddsmakers here. The Bills have one of the best rosters in the NFL and they have the franchise quarterback many teams have been tanking for years to try and get.

No one in their division is as good as they are so they would get into the playoffs just by winning the division. But on the slight chance that Miami or New England win the AFC East, the Bills are still better than the teams projected to be in the AFC wild-card playoff hunt.

2021 Buffalo Bills Win Total Odds

The Bills have a very tough mountain to climb in 2021 as the win total Vegas has set is at 11 wins. This is also the third-highest in the league and is also behind the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs. Both those wins total are set at 11.5 and 12.5 so the Bills aren’t that far off. If we take a look at their upcoming schedule, we can see that the Bills have a fairly hard schedule as some of their tougher games are against the Steelers, Washington Football Team, Dolphins, Patriots, Saints, Colts, Titans, Chiefs, and Buccaneers.

They do get to play some games that they should win against the Jets, Falcons, Panthers, Texans, and Jaguars, but that might not be enough to get to that 11 win mark. 11 wins is a lot even in an expanded 17 game schedule and that means they would need to win over 55% of their harder games to even tie the win total. Despite all of that, the Bills still are a top 5 team in the NFL and I would be hesitant towards the wins total as I only see them winning 12-13 games in the best-case scenario.

2021 Buffalo Bills Player Future Odds

The obvious story with the Bills is their superstar quarterback. Josh Allen has ascended into the higher echelon of the elite category of quarterbacks and his MVP odds reflect that. He is the third favorite in the MVP race at 10 to 1 odds. This only trails Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers and this is coming off of a season where Allen finished 2nd in the MVP voting a season before.

If Allen can make a fraction of the leap he made in 2020, then there is no reason why Allen wouldn’t be the clear-cut MVP. The Bills also have a DPOY candidate in Tre’Davious White, but his odds are slimmer than Allen’s. White is given +3300 odds to win the DPOY and that’s because there are similar defensive backs and more defensive pass rushers competing for that award. Tre White is a ballhawk cornerback, however, so there is a chance that he intercepts a ton of passes this season and puts himself as the front-runner for the award.

Chris primarily bets on the NFL but has also won betting on the NBA, CBB, and CFB. His friends call him "The Trap Game Mastermind" for his ability to identify trap games. Loves underdogs, overs, and betting against fraudulent teams.

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