Buffalo Bills Vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Player Props & Picks (10/2/22)
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Bills Vs. Ravens Player Prop Picks
Sunday afternoon will bring us a matchup between two 2-1 teams with high aspirations, two of the best head coaches in the NFL, and two of the most dynamic, modern, and exciting quarterbacks in the league- who may very well be the two frontrunners for MVP. It’ll be a hard-fought battle in Baltimore, as both serious contenders try to avoid falling down to .500. Let’s check out some player props as the biggest stars look to rise to the occasion and shine their brightest.
Josh Allen o285.5 Passing Yards
Josh Allen is, once again, staying aggressive and throwing the ball downfield, to the tune of a league-best 338 yards per game so far. In fact, in each game he’s thrown for more yardage than the week before, and he has yet to accrue yardage below the total of 285.5 set for this week. His receivers are also playing the second-best of any pass catching group in the NFL, according to PFF.
Meanwhile, PFF sees the less-than-perfectly-healthy Ravens coverage unit as just above league average, and even that figure is probably propped up by having played the Patriots and Jets already, two of the worst passing squads in the league. They are still allowing a league-worst 353 air yards per game, due in large part to being the victims of an awe-inspiring, legendary fourth quarter stampede by Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins. So, both the Bills air game and Ravens pass defense have been good for well over the requisite yardage each week so far, and neither side is showing signs of change; I’m very comfortable with this prop, and it’s circled in red sharpie on my betslip this week.
Lamar Jackson o55.5 Rushing Yards
Simply put, Jackson is back to his MVP form. He’s been passing the ball extremely well, but more relevantly for this prop, he’s also tied for 5th place in the league in rushing yards among all positions, and yes that includes running backs. He’s coming off just his second-ever string of consecutive 100 yard rushing performances, the first occurring in weeks 6 and 7 of his legendary 2019 season.
He’s going up against a Bills defense that has overall been one of the best in the league, but has been closer to league average, or even a little below, against the run. Against the pass, PFF sees them as a top-3 coverage unit, and the best pass rushing team in the league, which means Lamar will likely be forced to escape pressure and improvise with his legs. This is a huge game and it should be tight for four quarters, so I expect Lamar to be breaking off some big late runs in crucial situations.
Stefon Diggs to score a Touchdown
When Allen is throwing well, it’s a pretty good bet that Diggs is going to be involved. During Allen’s near-MVP 2020 season, Diggs led the league with a staggering 127 catches, and also secured the yardage crown with over 1500. Last season, both of those numbers were down by about 20%, as Allen regressed as a passer. So far this year, with Allen very much playing the role of MVP once again, Diggs is leading the league in touchdowns, hauling in more than one per game so far. As we’ve already discussed, Allen is throwing the ball well, and the Ravens are really struggling against the pass- I don’t think this one is rocket science, Diggs has every ability to find the end zone on Sunday afternoon.
