Get Cardinals vs Commanders player prop picks & odds for the (9/10/23) matchup
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Cardinals vs Commanders Player Prop Picks
With a new season comes new beginnings, and that mantra rings as true for the Arizona Cardinals and Washington Commanders as any two clubs in the league. The Commanders have finally moved on from the ownership of Dan Snyder, while the Cardinals are looking forward into what is intended to be the Caleb Williams era. As these two teams square off, even though the season might not end in a playoff berth for either squad, plenty of individuals have a lot on the line as they try to prove that they should be a part of the future, so let’s take a look at some player props for this week one matchup.
Joey Slye o2.5 XP Made (+130 DraftKings)
Assuming that Slye isn’t going to shank extra points- he went 24 of 28 last year- and that the Commanders aren’t going to go rogue and attempt two point conversions against the Cardinals, this is more or less betting on the team to score more than three touchdowns. This seems like a pretty good bet for the quietly-solid Washington offense against what figures to be one of the worst defenses in the league.
The wide receiver room of Terry McLaurin, Jahan Dotson, and Curtis Samuel might lack some of the flash of others across the league, but it’s one that most quarterbacks would be extremely happy to throw to. McLaurin is coming off of his third consecutive thousand-yard season, Samuel chipped in over 650 in his first year with the team and Dotson, who settled in much more as the year went on, scored seven touchdowns and looks to build on the positives from the late stages of his rookie year.
The running back duo of Brian Robinson Jr. and Antonio Gibson is a perfect pairing, two backs that compliment each other very well. Robinson, who missed the beginning of his rookie season after being shot twice in the leg, is a hard-nosed runner who got better and better as the season went on, while Gibson is more involved in the passing game. Quarterback Sam Howell has a lot to prove, but with a skill group like this, and plenty of time with the ball due to a true rudderless ship of an Arizona offense, the Commanders should have no problem finding the end zone.
Jahan Dotson o42.5 Receiving Yards (-120 DraftKings)
As I mentioned above, Dotson is primed for a great second season in the league. After entering the league amidst questions about his size, as he stands 5’11” and 183 pounds, he was top ten in contested catch rate last year, and scored five touchdowns against man coverage, tops among all rookies. His route running and ability to get a good release at the line of scrimmage make him a serious threat at the NFL level, regardless of his physical stature.
42.5 yards is a ridiculously low number for a player who looks like he’s going to be a major part of the offense this season. At the end of last season, he secured the over for that total in four of five games, and he came close in the remaining performance with 37 yards and an uncharacteristic three catches on seven targets.
McLaurin is a great player, but he won’t take every single target, especially as he recovers from turf toe and may not be quite 100%, and the Commanders will want to use this opportunity to get Howell comfortable running the offense and making some throws while building confidence against a horrible secondary and overall pass defense. Like Tee Higgins, Dotson is a player whose overs I’ll be taking all season long until either he proves me wrong, or the market catches up and starts giving him more respectful lines.
Antonio Gibson o55.5 Rushing+Receiving Yards (-110 DraftKings)
Gibson’s total scrimmage yardage total is a great way to play, as it’s hard to know exactly what the carry split will be between him and Robinson, but it’s a good bet that he’ll be involved in the passing game. Looking back to last year, he didn’t have the greatest volume numbers after Robinson’s return, but he wasn’t the healthiest he’s ever been. Gibson dealt with a minor hamstring injury, a pedal foot fracture, and an MCL sprain throughout the 2022 season and while there’s no guarantee he stays healthy all year, he seems to be good to go right now for opening day.
While the receiving game is a big selling point for Gibson’s total, it’s worth noting that with a strong likelihood that the Commanders go ahead by a bundle in this one, so they could be running the clock out. While Robinson is likely to be the lead back in general, they won’t want to wear him out so early in the season, especially just for the purpose of draining the clock, so Gibson could get an outsized number of carries in this game.
You may notice that all of the picks here are for Commanders players, and there’s good reason for that; with no official starting pitcher named for the Cardinals, there are very few props posted for their players. Even for the ones that do exist, it’s hard to place bets on an offense surrounded by that kind of ambiguity, especially as they are entrenched in such a clear tank.