Carolina Panthers vs Buffalo Bills Player Props (12/19/21)
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An injury cleared Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills get ready to take on the Panthers this Sunday in a game the Bills need to win to stay in contention for the AFC East title. After consecutive losses to the Patriots and Buccaneers, the Bills have seen themselves go from being on a short list for number one seeds in the AFC to possibly outside the playoff picture all in a matter of weeks. The Panthers, meanwhile, have lost 8 out of 10 games with one of the hardest remaining schedules in the NFL. Though their playoff hopes may be dead, there’s a lot of pride in this organization between Head Coach Matt Rhule and Owner David Tepper — both of whom still have a lot to prove. How the Panthers fare over their final four games could largely determine the direction this franchise takes moving forward, though the big question remains how can they get good offensive pieces to complement their solid defense led by one of the best secondary’s in the NFL.
Gabriel Davis Under 41.5 Receiving Yards
The Panthers don’t do a whole lot well, but they do have the single best yards per game passing defense in football. With AJ Bouye, Jeremy Chinn, Juston Burris, and Stephon Gilmore in the defensive backfield, teams are averaging just 177.7 yards per game through the air. Moreover, opposing offenses throw on the Carolina defense less than any other defense in the league. Translation, Buffalo’s offensive scheme heading into this one will likely feature less pass plays than usual, particularly with Josh Allen nursing an injury. That means Gabriel Davis, who’s averaging just 32 receiving yards on the year, is going to get less opportunities for chunk yards. There is value in the under for nearly every Bills receiver in this one, though none more so than this one.
Josh Allen Over 31.5 Rushing Yards
Given how good Carolina’s secondary is and how little depth the Bills have at the running back position, look for a lot of their offense to come from either designed Josh Allen runs or Josh Allen scrambles. The Panthers have a below average run defense and the Bills are going to need to lean into this to get some consistency going on offense. Allen is averaging 40 yards a game on the ground this season, with a high percentage of them coming from undesigned scrambles. Expect designed pass plays to break down often on Sunday and lots of Josh Allen rushing attempts.
Josh Allen Under 260.5 Passing Yards
The Panthers have allowed more than 260 passing yards once this season and it came in an overtime game that saw their offense turn the ball over three times. With Josh Allen still nursing a foot injury, the Bills offense will likely feature more designed run plays than usual and less pass attempts. Over the last 4 games, Allen is averaging 230 yards a game and the Panthers are one of the best defenses he’s faced all season.
DJ Moore Under 50.5 Receiving Yards
While the Panthers have the best yards per game passing defense, the Bills have the second best. If you’re a fan of betting the under, this is the game of the week. Though DJ Moore is averaging over 72 yards a game on the year, he’s struggled against the two top 5 passing defenses he’s faced in New England and Arizona, putting up 32 and 24 yards, respectively. Bookmakers knew what they were doing when they made the line this low and bettors must remain cautious to not fall into the trap.
