Chicago Bears vs. New York Giants NFL Player Props & Picks (10/2/22)
Chicago Bears vs. New York Giants Player Prop Picks
The Bears and Giants come into Sunday at 2-1, but both of their offenses are hampered by injuries and a general lack of talent. Take a look at where we can find some value in player prop bets.
Justin Fields Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+260)
The Bears clearly don’t trust Justin Fields as a passer yet, but that could work in your favor here.
Fields’ touchdown count is surprisingly low for a player who has to use his mobility so often. It’s worth noting he did score in Week 2 against the Packers and had what would’ve been a second rushing touchdown overturned by replay. Chicago is clearly interested in using Fields near the goal line, so at +260 in a game that will be defined by the rushing attacks, this could be worth the risk.
Daniel Jones Over 32.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Daniel Jones was running for his life in Monday’s loss to the Cowboys, but that helped anyone who took the over on his rushing numbers. Jones ran for 79 yards on 9 attempts, after posting a total of 46 yards on the ground over the first two games. Jones might not be harassed as much by the Bears, but this is still a solid Chicago pass-rush that could force him to run.
More importantly, the Giants are especially thin on receivers. Sterling Shepard is out for the season, Kadarius Toney isn’t expected to play, and Kenny Golladay proved last week that he can’t be trusted. The Giants are running out of options offensively, and the best option that remains is to run the football. That means you’ll see plenty of Saquon Barkley, and it also means you could see Jones have to utilize his mobility.
Saquon Barkley Over 18.5 Rushing Attempts (-120)
The sentiment is similar to the one above. It feels like at least one of these has to hit. The only way in which the Giants deploy a remotely pass-heavy offense is if they fall in a significant hole against the Bears. Barring turnovers, Chicago doesn’t have enough in the tank to build up a big lead so quickly.
Saquon Barkley is averaging 17.7 rushing attempts per game so far this season and played a season-high 92% of offensive snaps in Week 3. While he may not be the player he was as a rookie, Barkley is beginning to prove that Week 1 wasn’t just a fluke, and I expect him to be a huge part of the gameplan against a Bears defense that let Aaron Jones run all over the field two weeks ago.
Saquon Barkley Longest Rush Over 16.5 Yards (-115)
If you’re noticing I’m completely avoiding both passing games in this one, it’s not a coincidence. The Bears have already shown that they don’t have much interest in passing the ball, and the Giants look like a team that won’t be passing much as long as their receiving corps is so thin. Saquon Barkley will get plenty of work once again.
Barkley had a 68-yard run in Week 1 against the Titans and a 36-yard run against the Cowboys last week. The win over Carolina is the only game in which he hasn’t had a 17+ yard run, but he had runs of 16 and 15 yards.
Along with his expected usage, Barkley’s track record indicates he has a good chance of a breakaway run.
