Cincinnati Bengals Vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Player Props & Picks (10/31/22)
Cincinnati Bengals Vs. Cleveland Browns Player Prop Picks
On Monday Night Football, we’ll see a very intriguing matchup between two AFC North rivals who are vying for playoff positioning. The unfortunate injury to Ja’Marr Chase changes the scope of this matchup, but that sets up for some interesting value in the player props market. In this article, I’ll break down my favorite props from this Monday Night Football matchup. You can use the player prop search tool above to compare odds from different sportsbooks for this Bengals vs. Browns game. Let’s get to work.
Nick Chubb Longest Rush Over 19.5 Yards
At the time I’m writing this, there hasn’t been an official line posted for this prop. However, it’s been posted around 19.5 yards as that’s where it has been as of late. Chubb has a run of 20+ yards in ten of his last eleven games, but sportsbooks have yet to take notice. In the one game where Chubb didn’t break a 20-yard run, he was at 18 yards.
This week, Chubb has a great matchup against a Bengals run defense that has suffered from the losses of D.J. Reader and Logan Wilson. Cincinnati ranks just 24th in run defense DVOA and 20th in yards per carry allowed. Per TruMedia, they also rank 26th in rate of carries allowed with 3+ yards before contact. That’s crucial for breaking long carries as it will allow Chubb to get to the second level and make defenders miss in the open field.
Joe Burrow Longest Pass Over 39.5 Yards
The loss of Ja’Marr Chase from the lineup is disappointing, but Joe Burrow should still have success this week given the matchup. Burrow has a completion of 55+ yards in four of his last six games, and there are still plenty of capable receivers for him to throw to between Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, and Hayden Hurst.
This is also a great matchup as the Cleveland secondary has been very vulnerable to deep passes, allowing the most yards per completion at 12.5. Cleveland ranks 28th in pass defense DVOA, and the passers they’ve faced aren’t exactly impressive – Baker Mayfield, Joe Flacco, Mitchell Trubisky, Marcus Mariota, Justin Herbert, Bailey Zappe, and Lamar Jackson.
Tyler Boyd Over 66.5 Receiving Yards
You can sell me on Tee Higgins or Hayden Hurst being the right play in this game, but I like Tyler Boyd’s potential to be very successful. Boyd is coming off his best game of the season with 155 yards, and now that Ja’Marr Chase is out for the foreseeable future, we should expect Boyd to be heavily involved in the passing game every week.
Heading into this season, Boyd had averaged 6.6 receptions for 69 yards in 13 games with Joe Burrow but without one of Chase or Higgins. This is an ideal matchup for him as the Browns rank 28th in pass defense DVOA vs WR2s, per Football Outsiders. Boyd typically plays a majority of his snaps out of the slot, but we might see that change without Chase. Regardless, he should find plenty of success against this secondary and continue his hot streak.
