The current Cleveland Browns 2023 Super Bowl odds are . Arguably few teams have gone through more injuries than Cleveland, yet the Browns somehow managed to hit the jackpot in regard to their postseason outlook. Not only has Joe Flacco managed to steady the ship at the most critical time for the Browns to make the playoffs, locking up the fifth seed and getting to take on one of the weaker teams in the Houston Texans.
Cleveland Browns 2024 Super Bowl Odds & Futures
|Cleveland Browns Super Bowl Odds & Futures
|Odds (Updated February 2024)
|Super Bowl 58 Odds
|AFC Winner Odds
|AFC North Odds
|To Make Playoffs Odds
|Browns Win Total Odds
Granted the Texans are no pushover as they earned their right to be here, but they are definitely one of the two worst teams with only the Steelers being arguably worse. Oddsmakers tend to agree as they opened the Browns as a -1.5 favorite with bettors backing them up to -2.5 as of writing. CJ Stroud is still a rookie and playing in his biggest game while the Texans defense has serious issues with defending the pass. Two big factors that drastically swing momentum towards the Browns way.
Cleveland Browns Super Bowl Odds Analysis
Focusing more on the Browns defense, this unit has been a top-3 unit over the full course of the season. They were once regarded as the most dominant defense in the NFL in the first half of the season, regressing to second in Def DVOA after slight regression in the second half. The regression was hardly their fault as tired legs started to kick in after a rough offensive stint that forced the defense to be out on the field far longer than they should have been.
Still, the Browns defense locked in and played a major part to their success of nabbing the fifth seed. Their dominance stretches to both areas of the game, ranking second in Def Pass DVOA and fourth in Def Rush DVOA. While the front seven has slightly regressed to slightly above average in Def Rush EPA and Success Rate, the Browns back end have managed to maintain their ranks of first overall in Def Pass EPA and Def Pass Success Rate.
Their high level of coverage will be vital in order to slow down the Houston Texans as their offensive production lives and breathes off of the arm of rookie sensation CJ Stroud. Granted Devin Singletary has done a great job at elevating their poor rush metrics since getting the starting gig halfway into the year, but the Texans main source of success stems from their impressive pass metrics. Houston comes into this matchup ranked 10th in Pass DVOA, 13th in Pass EPA, and 18th in Pass Success Rate.
Better yet for the Browns, their pass game should be in a position to find more consistency against one of the worst secondaries in football. Joe Flacco has done a great job at elevating their pass game with his downfield throwing ability yet struggles with turnover worthy plays. Those troublesome throws should come at a slower rate as the Texans back end ranks 23rd in Def Pass DVOA, 20th in Def Pass EPA, 18th in Def Pass Success Rate, and 19th in Def Adjusted Sack Rate.
With clear advantages on both sides of the ball, the Browns current Super Bowl odds are very intriguing as their good fortune stems from more than just this game. With a win over the Texans, the Browns get to play either the regressing Kansas City Chiefs or their division foes Baltimore Ravens who they are very familiar with. With sizable odds to win it all, there are various ways to hedge their number to guarantee a profit. Off the backs of their defense, the Browns are a dangerous low seed to make a run.
Reasons Why the Browns Can and Can’t Win the Super Bowl
- Joe Flacco aggressive down field passing ability stretches out the defense
- When healthy, one of the better offensive lines in the league
- Defense has remained elite throughout the whole season
- Flacco throws an abundance of turnover worthy plays
- Offensive line is dangerously thin while dealing with injuries
- Very thin in the pass catching department
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