Denver Broncos Vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Player Props & Picks (11/13/22)
Denver Broncos Vs. Tennessee Titans Player Prop Picks
The Broncos and Titans are matching up this week in a game with significant AFC playoff implications, but we’re looking at a game with the lowest over-under total of the season. With two very good defenses and two offenses that leave a lot to be desired, can we find value in the player props market? Let’s find out.
In this article, I’ll break down my favorite player props in this game. You can use the Broncos vs. Titans player prop search tool above to find the best odds for the props you have selected. Let’s get to work.
Greg Dulcich Over 44.5 Receiving Yards (-115 FanDuel)
Before the Broncos’ bye week, Greg Dulcich came off the Injured Reserve and played three games. In those games, he averaged 60.7 receiving yards, which would be the third-most among tight ends over the full season. Dulcich is posting a 17.7% target share and a 74.4 PFF receiving grade. Only one rookie tight end has posted higher numbers – Kyle Pitts last season.
This week, the Broncos are facing a Titans defense that has allowed 69.5 receiving yards per game to tight ends. That’s the third-most in the NFL per Football Outsiders. Dulcich fills an important role in Denver’s offense over the middle of the field, and he’s been crucial in helping them be more effective against zone defense. The Titans play zone defense at the 11th-highest rate in the league.
Derrick Henry Over 99.5 Rushing Yards (-115 DraftKings)
You can’t stop him, you can only hope to contain him. Derrick Henry is working on a four-game streak of 100+ rushing yards despite playing alongside rookie quarterback Malik Willis in two of those games. Henry leads the NFL with 729 yards after contact, and the second-highest running back is over 150 yards behind.
The Broncos have the best pass defense in the NFL, but they haven’t been nearly as good against the run. They rank first in DVOA against the pass and 25th against the run. They also allow the fifth-most yards per carry. While the Broncos’ excellent defensive coordinator Ejiro Evero will spend much of the bye week game planning for Henry, there’s not much this linebacking corps can do to slow him down.
Ryan Tannehill Under 176.5 Passing Yards (-115 DraftKings)
While this number appears low on the surface, Ryan Tannehill is averaging just 193 passing yards per game this season. Much of that is due to the Titans having perhaps the worst wide receiver room in the country, and those receivers didn’t catch a single pass against the Chiefs in their Sunday Night Football matchup last week.
While Malik Willis started that game, Tannehill returns this week, and we’re expecting him to be somewhat hobbled as he’s coming off the ankle injury. Even if he isn’t, he’ll be throwing against a Denver defense that’s allowing just 165.8 passing yards per game, the fewest in the NFL.