Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns Player Props (11/21/21)

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The Cleveland Browns welcome the Detroit Lions to FirstEnergy Stadium this Sunday as the two square off in a game that reeks of desperation for both teams. The Browns look to keep their playoff hopes alive with a win, while the Lions look to secure their first victory of the season. With pressure mounting on Baker Mayfield and the Browns organization to get right this week, expect some new looks from this Cleveland offense — especially as Nick Chubb returns to the lineup. Though expectations remain low in Detroit, there’s always been a sort of friendly rivalry between these two rust belt franchises who double as the two most losing teams of the last 20 years. Wins are hard to come by for everyone in the NFL, and no one understands it quite like these fan bases. Regardless, one of them is bound to come out of the weekend with a W, and I’m excited about it.

Jarvis Landry Over 49.5 Receiving Yards

After consecutive down weeks, Jarvis Landry is due for a breakout game. With Nick Chubb back in the offensive backfield, the Browns are going to be able to embrace their run-pass-option identity that’s been so successful for them under Head Coach Kevin Stefanski. With the defense forced to play Chubb and the Browns’ tight ends — who’ve had success as of late — opportunities are going to open up for Landry on the perimeter. Expect a couple chunk plays of over 15 yards and a bunch of first and second down targets as he goes for over 50 yards on Sunday.

Nick Chubb Over 84 Rushing Yards

This Detroit run stopping unit remains one of the worst in football, giving up over 135 yards a game this season. Cleveland’s offensive line, meanwhile, continues to be arguably the best run blocking line in football, and easily the best that Detroit has faced all season. Chubb is averaging over 103 yards a game so far this year and, without Kareem Hunt, he’s bound to get a bulk of the carries on Sunday. If Chubb wasn’t coming off an injury, this line would likely be significantly higher — making this one a true value play assuming the reports from the Browns camp are correct.

Austin Hooper Under 2.5 Receptions

Austin Hooper is currently averaging 2.7 receptions a game this season with over 3 catches on 3 separate occasions. Though he’s had success when targeted, Baker Mayfield rarely does. Hooper has only been targeted more than 3 times on 4 occasions this season, much less made 3 or more catches that many times. With Chubb healthy and Landry poised for a get-right game, I expect Hooper to be the odd man out on the Browns’ offense this weekend.

Baker Mayfield Over 221 Yards

Coming off a dreadful week 10 performance against the Patriots where he only put up 73 yards, Baker Mayfield needs to make a statement this weekend against a reeling Lions team. If this game — a must win for the Browns — is even close, Browns GM Andrew Berry isn’t going to look kindly upon it when it comes time to decide whether or not he’s going to pay Baker. Baker knows it and this Browns team knows it. I fully expect Baker to come out laser focused and poised to make some big plays in this one against a Lions secondary that’s pretty average, allowing just over 244 passing yards a game.

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Patrick started covering the sports betting scene in March of 2021 as a member of the Loyola Phoenix. Since then, his industry analysis has been featured on websites such as Lineups.com and Daily Fantasy Cafe, where he has focused primarily on the NFL and individual state launches. As the current Assistant Site Runner of Lineups.com, Patrick aims to give more people access to information that may offer some insight into why teams build the way they do and what that means for any given matchup.

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