Slate News, Injuries, Vegas Totals, & Weather
DraftKings rolls out a 14 game slate tonight, with endless options on the hill and offenses. Coors is on the slate, and Baltimore is rolling out a lefty. That means Nolan Arenado and Trevor Story are standout options. You won’t find them below, but they are always obvious plays at home against left-handed pitching. The weather concern tonight is in Kansas City, where there are storms all around the area. This is the higher PPD threat on the slate.
Noah Syndergaard ($10,100) – Noah Syndergaard is one of the top arms on the slate, and is in a really good spot. He faces a Tigers lineup that has a combined .282 wOBA, .139 ISO, and 25.5% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. Syndergaard has had some tough luck of late, and still sports a 24% strikeout rate and 3.73 xFIP. He is in a good bounce back spot against Detroit. He has a 51% whiff rate on his curveball, and a 30%+ whiff rate on his changeup and slider. There are a few great options on the slate, but Detroit is the best matchup for me to take advantage on.
Jose Berrios ($10,200) – Jose Berrios is cash viable, but looking at the slate, I don’t think he will have high of ownership in tournaments. He has a sub 4.00 xFIP and 23% strikeout rate this season. The strikeouts haven’t been there like a few other aces, but he has potential in this spot. Chicago has a 26% strikeout rate in their projected lineup against right-handed pitching this season. Berrios had a wide range of strikeout outcomes against Chicago last season, tallying 11, 2, 10, 4, and 9 strikeouts. He also allowed just eight earned runs in five of those starts, with one start allowing 4 ER.
Juan Soto ($4,600) – Juan Soto is reasonably priced on tonight’s slate, taking on Pablo Lopez. He has a .349 wOBA and .172 ISO off righties in 2019, but has much better expected numbers too. His hard-contact rate is teetering a bit, but he matches up really well against Pablo Lopez. He has mediocre numbers against both sides of the plate, and a fairly limited sample size. Dating back to last season, Soto has a .396 wOBA and .216 ISO off right-handed pitching. Washington is also an average park for left-handed power.
Marwin Gonzalez ($4,200) – The Twins offense just continues to roll, projected lineups don’t have Marwin Gonzalez in, so if he sits, I like looking at the lefties overall. Reynaldo Lopez has allowed a .398 wOBA and .220 ISO to left-handed hitters. Flyballs are at a 52% clip, and hard-contact is at 35%. Gonzalez is starting to come around, and the batted ball stats suggested he would once the strikeouts were cut down. Overall, the lefties are ones to target, and I don’t mind paying any of the price tags. Stack them up in all formats.
Paul Goldschmidt ($4,100) – Mike Foltynewicz does not look healthy since returning, and I am surprised he is making another start. He has a 5.99 xFIP and 14% strikeout rate so far this season. Right-handed hitters have a .463 wOBA and .400 ISO off him, which puts Paul Goldschmidt in play. Getting him at a $4,100 price tag is likely more about his recent performance. Still a lot to like for him. he has a 50% hard-contact rate and .191 ISO off righties. He also gets an arm that isn’t missing many bats right now. The Cards are underrated in this spot, and should be lower owned.
Amed Rosario ($3,900) – Amed Rosario is likely going to be leading off tonight, and is sub $4,000. He has a sub 70% contact rate against lefties which is the problem, but has a .393 xwOBA. Gregory Soto is allowing a .450 wOBA and .333 ISO to right-handers this season. They also have a 42% hard-contact rate and average exit velocity of 94mph. This is more about how bad Soto is, which puts the Mets right-handers in tournament territory tonight.
Yasmani Grandal ($4,500) – Not sure how many will be spending up at catcher tonight, but Yasmani Grandal brings a ton of power to the position. He has a .208 ISO off right-handers this season, and Jerad Eickhoff is one to struggle with elfties. He has allowed a .350 wOBA and .273 ISO to them this season. The flyball rate is at 67% and hard-contact is over 40%.