Josh Allen ($7,500) vs Colts- Josh Allen is an MVP candidate and he has been unstoppable all season long. He finished the season scoring over 35 FPTS in 2 of the last 3 games and in week 17 he scored 20 FPTS while sitting most of the game when it got out of hand. The play of Stefon Diggs and the returning John Brown have been instrumental to Allen’s success and with both of them healthy Buffalo will be tough to stop. The Colts rush defense has been good this season but their pass defense has lagged behind and I believe Josh Allen will be able to take advantage of that this weekend.
Ben Roethlisberger ($6,100) vs Browns- Big Ben had some struggles during the 2nd half of the season but he looked like he recovered week 16 when he scored 28 FPTS with 3 TDs and 0 INTs. There has been a lot of talk about him calling his own plays, and if he does that this week I expect him to perform a lot as he did vs the Colts. Even if he doesn’t he should be able to do a lot of things vs this Browns defense that is banged up and is having a lot of COVID-related issues. Either way at this price Big Ben offers a lot of value in my opinion.
J.K. Dobbins ($6,600) vs Titans- J.K. Dobbins has taken control of the Ravens run-heavy backfield and he has produced a lot of points for them in recent weeks. He comes into this game with 7 rushing TDs in 6 games and has scored at least once in 6 straight weeks. He doesn’t get a ton of carries but he makes them count, and he is averaging 6 YPC this season in 15 games. The Titans defense as a whole has struggled this season and come into this game allowing 120 rush yards per game. That could be killer vs this Ravens team so I will have Dobbins in my lineup.
J.D. McKissic ($4,900) vs Buccaneers- McKissic didn’t do anything on the ground last week vs the Eagles but he did haul in 5 catches on 8 targets for the day which gave him a decently respectable 8 FPTS. However, I am expecting much more this week vs the Bucs defense. Alex Smith will be pressured a lot in this game, which will force a lot of dump-offs to McKissic. We have seen him thrive in this role with multiple 10+ target games this season. He finished the year with double digits in 4 of the last 5 contests and 20+ FPTS in 2 of the last 3. At this price in a smaller slate, it is worth taking the risk.
Chris Godwin ($7,000) vs Washington- As of this writing it is unclear if Mike Evans will be in the lineup but if he is he will likely be limited in some capacity. Godwin has been banged up a lot this season but he has really come on as of late. He has 4 TDs in the last 3 games and the passing game for Tampa Bay has been very effective. They will be up against a tough Washington team but with the way Brady has been throwing the ball, I am not too worried about it. I like this play either way but much more if Mike Evans misses this game.
John Brown ($4,700) vs Colts- John Brown returned last week after recovering from a knee injury and a trip to the COVID list. He got right back to the action accumulated 72 yards and a TD on the day. He has scored 17+ FPTS in 2 of the last 3 games he has played and besides Stefon Diggs, is Josh Allen’s favorite target. The Colts defense can be exposed in the passing game and with most of the attention on Diggs, this could be a great spot for John Brown.
Cole Kmet ($3,000) vs Saints- Cole Kmet’s numbers aren’t anything special this year but I think he offers great value at this price point. He has been targeted a total of 14 times in the last 2 games and finished with a season-high 7 catches in their week 17 matchup vs the Packers. It is hard to find a TE with that amount of target share in this price range and I think Trubisky will need some TE production if they want to have success in this game. The Saints defense on the outside is pretty good and they are great against this rush. That should mean there will be openings for Jimmy Graham and Kmet and that is what I am banking on this weekend.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers D/ST ($3,400) vs Washington- The Washington Football Team has been able to win games this year but they haven’t done it by scoring a lot of points. The Bucs defense has been solid all year long and should be able to find success in slowing Alex Smith down. They rush the passer well and despite them not being at the same level as they were at the start of the year, they are still a respectable defense. If you are in a bind and can’t afford a defense like the Saints, you should feel confident that the Bucs won’t hurt your team.