Week 1 was an extremely fun DFS weekend with the NFL breaking the record for the most amount of touchdowns in the first week of a season. Week 2 has left us with some incredible values due to DKs early pricing model before the Monday Night games. That means that if you paid attention to injury reports and the Monday Night studs, then you are left with a plethora of value to choose from for your GPP plays.
($8,100) vs Detroit Lions
Now you are saying to yourself “how the heck is the most expensive WR a value”. Well, let us go over some facts. First, Adams received 17 targets in a positive game script where the Packers dominated the Vikings. Second, the Lions currently have one healthy top 4 cornerbacks on their team, their rookie draft pick who missed last week with injury, Jeff Okudah. Third, Rodgers looked like classic Rodgers in his matchup against the Vikings, not missing a single throw and nailing every WR in their hands. Everything is there for Adams to score huge again this week and you should make room for him on your GPP plays.
($7,800) vs Las Vegas Raiders (Monday Night)
Kamara is a big incentive to play with the full 15 or 16 game slate this week. While one of the most expensive RBs this week, we all saw what CMC was able to do against the Vegas defense. Kamara should be able to match that, and now the Saints will be missing Michael Thomas. There is a world where Kamara not only rushes 15+ times this game, but he will probably also lead the team in targets. Most of my lineups are stacking Kamara and Adams and going for value at other positions.
($4,500) vs Minnesota Vikings
Parris Campbell reeled in 6 receptions on 9 targets last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Those numbers on their own should excite you enough to play him at his cost; however, he is also going against a Vikings secondary that just got exploited by Aaron Rodgers and dominated by the likes of Allen Lazard and Marquez Valdes-Scantling. Those 71 yards from the Jacksonville game could easily turn into 100 yards and a score with this poor Vikings’ defense. Not to mention that the Vikings are good at covering RBs out of the backfield so Rivers may look to Campbell more for underneath routes and checkdowns. A great play in DKs format at a very good price point.
($4,700) vs Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons’ defense is simply not good. Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf dominated the field while receiving dimes from Rusell Wilson. I expect the exact same kind of game between the Cowboys and Falcons as we saw with the Hawks and Falcons last week. CeeDee Lamb actually out-targeted Michael Gallup 6 to 5 and seems to be a key part of this offense. On top of that, Blake Jarwin went down with injury and Lamb will be looked to more by Dak for those short and intermediate route plays. Do not worry about the game getting out of hand as I think that the Atlanta offense will keep up with the Cowboys, and this should be an absolute shootout of a game. Getting a big piece of the points at $4,700 is a no brainer.
($4,300) vs Arizona Cardinals
So, I made this prediction last week and it did not exactly hit. However, Gibson did get 9 rushing attempts and 2 targets. He was also tripped up by WR Terry McLaurin on a run where he would have easily scored a 60-yard touchdown if it were not for the unfortunate foot placement of McLauren during his block. I think that Rivera saw how inefficient both Mckissic and Barber were and will look to Gibson more in this game. On top of this, the game script will also be favorable for Gibson as the Cardinals are a high power offense who will leave Haskins and the Washington Football Team in passing situations. The Cardinals gave up big plays to RBs in the passing game against the 49ers and that is Gibson’s specialty. I love this play this week and you get it for basically free with the $4,300 cost.
($5,200) vs Carolina Panthers
One of, if not the cheapest starting RB on the week, Ronald Jones’ matchup is too juicy to pass up. He is taking on the Carolina Panthers who just gave up a 40 point fantasy day to Josh Jacobs. Now do not hear what I am not saying, Jones, is no Jacobs. However, with 17 carries against a stout Saints’ defense in a negative game script, plus a solid 3 targets, Jones was surely used as an RB1 last week. If this usage continues in this game against Carolina then you can easily double the production of 82 total yards and probably tack on a touchdown. One of the best RB1 values on the week due to his great matchup, positive game script, and usage.
Sleeper of the Week:
($2,600) vs New York Jets
This play has everything to do with the fact that George Kittle will not be practicing all week and is a game-time decision for the game against the Jets. Even if Kittle ends up playing he very well could be a decoy and that leaves Reed as the number 1 TE option on a team with very few reliable weapons in the passing game. Jordan Reed is basically a free play at the TE position and could end up with significant targets this game against a horrible Jets’ defense that will not be able to cover him. While he was only targeted once in the Cardinals game, he looked good. If you take away the injuries, Reed is a top ten TE in this league. I think that the 49ers feel comfortable utilizing him a ton in this matchup and may even decide to rest Kittle due to this.