FanDuel & DraftKings MLB Daily Fantasy Picks 5/15/19

Slate News, Injuries, Vegas Totals, & Weather

8 games on the main slate, and the only weather is in Miami where they could close the roof. So overall no worries there. We have a few pitching options to work with tonight, and some ones that will be extremely popular. Some of the bigger favorites on the slate are Tampa Bay, but it is a bullpen game, and Houston is the other. The Rangers, Red Sox, Atlanta, and Houston are the teams with teams over a five total.

Cheat Sheet Notes: Players under cash are also viable in tournaments. Players listed under GPP are geared exclusively towards tournaments. Salaries from left to right are DraftKings to FanDuel.

Daily Pitcher Rankings

  1. Justin Verlander ($11,000/$12,000)
  2. Patrick Corbin ($10,000/$9,400)
  3. Mike Minor ($9,400/$8,800)
  4. Mike Soroka ($8,800/$9,600)
  5. Eduardo Rodriguez ($8,200/$8,400)
  6. Kenta Maeda ($9,200/$8,300)

Pitching Analysis

Justin Verlander heads back home to Detroit, where he will face an offense that has a collective .294 wOBA and .151 ISO in their projected lineup. The strikeout rate sits at 24.6%. This is a great spot for Verlander, who has a 30.6% strikeout rate, and he is far and away the best option on the slate. The Mets have a 28% strikeout rate as a team this season against left-handed pitching, and face on of the nastier lefties in baseball. New York will still bring left-handed bats to the table, which Corbin has a 37% strikeout rate against lefties this season. He has a 28% strikeout rate in general. He is my second favorite play behind Verlander.

Mike Minor has a sub-four xFIP this season, and a 25% strikeout rate. He gets a poor Royals team, who as a team strikeout 23% against left-handers, and have a 73 wRC+. It is a good ballpark to pitch in, and he has held both sides of the plate to under a .300 wOBA and .160 ISO. Minor is fine for all formats. Mike Soroka is someone I am looking at in GPPs. He has a 24% strikeout rate, and has been dominant against right-handers. Soroka has held them to a .233 wOBA so far in 2019, and has a 25.6% strikeout rate. He faces a pretty right-handed heavy team, and the lefties haven’t shown much power. Soroka should be overlooked, but is viable in GPPs.

I want to love these spots more with Kenta Maeda and Eduardo Rodriguez. Now, Rodriguez has been excellent of late, and if he can work around the big power bats he will be fine. We saw Colorado sort of at it’s finest where the big right-handers can do damage, yet this team as a whole struggles on the road and allows a ton of strikeouts. However, I am willing to roll the dice on Rodriguez in tournaments at these prices. Maeda is nothing more than a GPP dart throw against a lineup with minimal lefties and a 23% strikeout rate against right-handers.

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Offenses To Target

(Ranked In Order Of Preference W/ Implied Totals)

Houston Astros (6.7) – Wash, rinse, repeat with Houston against left-handed pitching. They face an inexperienced left-hander, and this team has just been clubbing of late. They have another monster implied total, but come with sky high price tags. George Springer has a .447 ISO off southpaws this season. Carlos Correa is at .333. Then you have names like Robinson Chirinos, Yuli Gurriel, and Aledmys Diaz as options as well in the back half.

Atlanta Braves (5.1) – Michael Wacha has an xFIP over five, and a 13% walk rate. He is allowing over a .200 ISO to both sides of the plate, and over a .350 wOBA. Atlanta has a combined .361 wOBA and .192 ISO in their projected lineup against right-handers. Really like the big bats here, but Freddie Freeman is the guy I am really eying. Nick Markakis and Ozzie Albies are both two lefties to also consider, but Ronald Acuna and Josh Donaldson can both go yard.

Philadelphia Phillies (4.6) – Not a big Gio Gonzalez fan, and his stuff has been okay since returning to the bigs. He faces a tough Phillies offense in a favorable ballpark. Andrew McCutchen, Jean Segura, and Rhys Hoskins are three of my favorite bats in this spot. Sean Rodriguez and Maiko Franco are tournament plays in the back half of the lineup.

Contrarian Corner

Texas on the road is always a contrarian way to go. However, they tend to struggle on the road with their offense. Jorge Lopez is a flyball arm, who has allowed a .438 wOBA and .347 ISO to lefties. This is why the Rangers stand out in this spot. Their first three hitters have over a .200 ISO off right-handers this season, and are on the left side. Nomar Mazara and Rougned Odor have struggled, but are deep GPP plays.

You might be wondering where Boston is. I like them, and they are never contrarian. You can use them in this spot against Marquez who might drop their ownership down a bit, but they didn’t make it into the section with the top offenses. To go more contrarian, Milwaukee against Jake Arrieta is where I would go. Target the lefties here against Arrieta. His strikeout rate and groundball rate plummet against left-handed hitters, and he is allowing a .208 ISO.

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Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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