FanDuel MLB Daily Fantasy Picks 6/27/19
Contents
MLB DFS is a high variance game, but one of the more fun fantasy sports to play. Cash games you want to find consistent high floor pitchers, and the same goes for hitters. Tournaments you want to find lower owned bats and pitchers that carry huge upside. This article will point you in the direction of both.
Pitchers
Griffin Canning ($7,500) – Just four games on tonight’s slate, and you have Stephen Strasburg taking on the Marlins for $10,400. He is a safe play, but we also have Coors on the slate, and it is tough to get bats in with Strasburg. While there is more risk going the cheaper route with Griffin Canning, it is still worth a shot in tournaments. He is a home favorite, and Oakland is sitting with a four implied total on the dot. The A’s have some pop and are a good overall offense, but have a 21% strikeout rate against right-handers. Canning has a 25% strikeout rate this season, and the concern is keeping the ball in the yard. His slider is tremendous, causing a 52% whiff rate. His changeup is also strong, as hitters have a .184 wOBA and 34% whiff rate. He is a value worth building a lineup with.
Cash Hitters
Justin Turner ($3,900) – Breaking my Coors rule of writing them up for this four game slate, as Justin Turner stands out with a .380 wOBA off right-handed pitching this season. Peter Lambert is an average right-handed arm at best, and doesn’t have much MLB experience. He throws a 93mph fastball and a curve to right-handed hitters. Against this fastball range, Turner has a .446 wOBA and .309 ISO. Turner is also one of the better bats against off-speed pitches especially when looking at his contact rate. Turner is also still below $4,000.
Shohei Ohtani ($3,600) – Tanner Anderson has a really good sinker and 3.54 xFIP in a small sample size. Lefties is where he struggles, allowing a .384 wOBA and his groundball rate is below 50%. Righties have a 70% groundball rate, so that sinker doesn’t work as well against lefties. He uses it 60% of the time to left-handed hitters, which is a perfect recipe for success. Shohei Ohtani has a .542 wBA and .527 ISO off sinkers. In his career, he has a .410 wOBA and .306 ISO off righties.
Matt Beaty ($2,800) – Matt Beaty is a cheap bat that should find the lineup. He has a 42% hard-contact rate against right-handed pitching, and a .375 wOBA. It is a small sample size, but he has looked good against righties. Lambert throws mostly changeups and fastballs to left-handed hitter. Beaty brings big potential in Coors for a price tag under $3,000. Lambert in a small sample size has allowed a .417 wOBA and .344 ISO to left-handed hitters. They also have over a 50% hard-contact rate against them.
Tournament Hitters
David Peralta ($3,500) – Not the greatest ballpark in the world, but on a four game slate we can’t be too picky. David Peralta has a .235 ISO and .395 wOBA off right-handed pitching this season. He is a mid-range power option against Tyler Beede. He is a young and inexperienced arm, so far he has allowed a .438 wOBA and .296 ISO to lefties with a 45% hard-contact rate. Peralta has strong numbers against the changeup and fastball range which dominate Beede’s pitch mix to left-handed hitters. The Arizona lefties are nice contrarian plays.
Trea Turner (4,100) – Trea Turner will fly under the radar, even on a four game slate. He brings power upside and also some SB appeal tonight. Against right-handed pitching he has a .366 wOBA and .237 ISO this season. Sandy Alcantara isn’t a bad arm, and has some good stuff, but walks and his pitch mix are a concern at times. Alcantara has allowed a .328 wOBA to right-handed hitters this season, and his groundball rate dips quite a bit.