A decent sized slate on our plates for Tuesday, brings some hefty totals to target. The highest being the Pelicans-Timberwolves game at 247. New Orleans are -12 point favorites. There are also two other blowout concerns, as Vegas projects, with the Lakers being -12.5 favorites and then the Nuggets at -15.5. No surprise to see the Pelicans top the implied totals at 129.5. The Kings, Timberwolves, and Nuggets are also all pushing 117. Washington and Sacramento looks to be one of the top games to target, as they push the pace and lack defensive presence. Lower totals that won’t be attractive fantasy targets outside of a few values are the Hornets and Warriors. The 76ers blowout isn’t something I see as Vegas does. Jayson Tatum is doubtful tonight, and LaMarcus Aldridge is out as well. Anthony Davis is also questionable. Serge Ibaka and Fred Vanvleet are questionable, and if they are out it could create some value against a hapless Suns defense.
Cash Game Picks
Bradley Beal – SG – $10,300
Bradley Beal is averaging 59 FD points over the last five games. He has a 38% usage rate over the last ten games, and is shooting 46% from the field. Sacramento has allowed the 9th most fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards this season. Beal’s usage and production continues to be something to build around, even though the price has shot up to double-digits.
Trey Lyles – PF – $5,400
With the Spurs injuries in the front court, Trey Lyles is the value to rely on. The Hornets front court is an easy one to target, and they rank 30th in defensive efficiency against opposing power forwards. They are also allowing the third most fantasy points per game to the position. He is going to be a popular play, and certainly hard to fade in cash games.
Tobias Harris – SF – $7,300
While Vegas projects this to be a blowout, the 76ers should still be able to keep this one remotely close. Tobias Harris is averaging 37 fantasy points per game over the last five, and has a 46 FD point ceiling in the last ten games. With Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons still out, Tobias Harris has averaged 1.18 FPPM with them off the court, and has a 26% usage rate. That is nearly a 3% usage rate bump with them on, and 0.16 increase in FPPM.
GPP Tournament Picks
De’Aaron Fox – PG – $7,500
De’Aaron Fox is probable tonight, after missing a few games. He gets an enticing matchup against Washington, and is in a range with names like Lonzo Ball and Chris Paul who should garnish some attention too. Washington ranks 29th in defensive efficiency against opposing point guards, and are allowing the 6th most fantasy points per game as well.
Daniel Theis – PF – $5,600
Daniel Theis is averaging 32 fantasy points per game over the last five, and has a 34 FD point ceiling in the last ten games. Brooklyn is not a good defense against opposing centers, and that has been the case for a while now. The Nets are allowing the second most FD points per game to opposing centers this season. Whether you are using Theis as a Lyles pivot or in addition to Lyles, he is a strong tournament option.
Marquese Chriss – C – $6,000
There are not a lot of value centers on FanDuel, but Marquese Chriss is someone you can take a shot on GPPs. He is at a price where a 40 FD point outing would be a great return on value. The Nuggets are a tougher defense, so many will be looking to fade this situation as a whole anyway. Averaging 30 FD points over the last two weeks, he is certainly worth a look at the $6,000 price tag.
Juancho Hernangomez – SF – $4,800
Minnesota has been kind for the former Nuggets players, and they have been taking advantage of the minutes received. Juan Hernangomez is averaging 26 FD points per game over the last five, and has had over a 30 FD point ceiling in the last ten games. He has been playing more of the four, and the Pelicans rank 15th in defensive efficiency, but are allowing the 8th most FD points per game. Hernangomez projects for 5.4 Pts/$1K, which is among the best at the position tonight.
Harry Giles – PF – $4,900
Harry Giles is still under $5,000 on FanDuel, despite averaging 30.3 FD points per game over the past five games. Giles has been excellent, and averaging 25 minutes per game in that span as well. Washington ranks 27th in defensive efficiency against opposing centers this season, and are allowing the 5th most FD points per game as well. Giles projects for over a 5.5 Pts/$1K,
Jordan Poole – PG – $4,500
The blowout concern here isn’t much of a factor for the Warriors value, given they are not a good team and are looking to get minutes for their young guys. Jordan Poole is one of those names, who is averaging 25.3 FD points per game over the last five, and averaging 30 minutes a night in that span. Poole is a shooter, and has been shooting 47% from the field in the last ten.