Not a lot of blowout concerns tonight, but the only double digit spread is Milwaukee at home against Indiana. Still not large enough for me to shy away from. Some of the better games to target are Washington/Portland, which sits at 241. Minnesota/Chicago and New Orleans/Dallas are the other ones I like to target. Boston is a team with a lot of names out, as Gordon Hayward, Kemba Walker, and Jaylen Brown are going to be out. Damian Lillard is returning and Zach LaVine is out. Andre Drummond is out again, so there is a lot of value in that Cleveland/Boston game.
Cash Game Picks
Rudy Gobert – C – $7,600
The Knicks are not a bad team against opposing centers, but this is more about Rudy Gobert being too cheap for what he can produce. Gobert is averaging just 34 fantasy points per game over the last two weeks, but has started to pick things up again. He is averaging 1.15 FPPM, and always has the blocked shot appeal. Gobert is a solid mid range play to build around.
Jayson Tatum – PF – $9,300
With the Celtics injury report tonight, it opens up some easy plays to slot in for cash games. Gordon Hayward, Kemba Walker, and Jaylen Brown are all ruled out tonight. Jayson Tatum sees a 39.7% usage rate and 1.45 FPPM with those names off the floor. Now add in a great matchup against the Cavaliers, he is a prime play. Tatum will likely move over to the three as well, and play some power forward too, both are positions that the Cavs struggle with.
Marcus Smart – SG – $6,500
Marcus Smart has been racking up the fantasy points of late, and it has risen his price tag. He doesn’t see a huge usage bump with the names out tonight, but he is going to suck up a ton of minutes. Smart will take over starting point guard duties, and the Cavaliers are allowing the most FD points per game to opposing point guards. Smart is averaging 40 FD points per game over the past two weeks.
GPP Tournament Picks
Ja Morant – PG – $6,700
Brooklyn is a middle of the road defense against opposing point guards, and Ja Morant has flashed some upside of late. Below the $7,000 price tag, he has some strong value as well if he can hit that upside. The Nets are allowing 47 FD points per game to opposing point guards. Morant has a 28% usage rate this season, and is averaging 1.13 FPPM on the season.
Brandon Ingram – SF – $7,800
Dallas has been sneaky bad against opposing small forwards, and are allowing the third most fantasy points per game. They also rank 22nd in defensive efficiency. This is going to be a high scoring game that should be back and forth. With the Zion arrival, Brandon Ingram’s upside has come and gone. I still like him in tournaments, and he is averaging 38 fantasy points over the past two weeks.
Hassan Whiteside – C – $9,500
Hassan Whiteside is a pay up option against Washington, who are allowing the 5th most fantasy points to opposing centers. They are also dead last in rebounding, and allow 2.7 blocks per game. Portland will have Lillard back tonight and are implied for 124 points, which is the highest on the slate. He has averaged 1.34 FPPM on the season.
Juancho Hernangomez – SF – $4,900
We can go back to the well here with Juan Hernangomez, who is coming off another strong game. Chicago is allowing the second most fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards. Minnesota has a high total at 116. One of the better bargains over the past few weeks, continues to stay underpriced. He is averaging 29 fantasy points per game over the last two weeks.
Rui Hachimura – PF – $4,900
Portland is dreadful against opposing power forwards, allowing the most fantasy points per game. Washington has two value options, with Davis Bertans being the other, but Rui Hachimura is a strong value play tonight. This game is one to target and the Wizards have a 116 implied total. Portland ranks 29th in defensive efficiency against opposing power forwards, and he is averaging 29 fantasy points over the last two weeks.
Malik Beasley – SG – $5,300
Minnesota has one of the higher implied totals on the slate, and I am not sure what more Malik Beasley has to do to get his price tag up, but we can continue to target the Minnesota value. Chicago is not a bad backcourt defense, but they rank 12th against shooting guards and that has been worse over the past two weeks. Beasley is averaging 33 fantasy points per game over the last two weeks.