There are a few scoring differences to be aware of if you are playing on FanDuel from a site like DraftKings. This is universal, but interceptions are just -1 in scoring and not -2 which seems to be the standard in season long leagues. FanDuel is a .5 per reception scoring league, so that does play a factor into building lineups. Tarik Cohen won’t have as much weight compared to PPR sites. There are also no yardage bonuses for crossing over a specific threshold. Now that you are caught up, it is time to look at some upside plays for the Week 10 Main Slate.
Kyler Murray – $7,700
GPP Projection: 21.9
This game is sitting with a 51 over/under, which is tied with the Saints-Falcons as far as the highest totals go on the slate. Ownership will be there on both sides of the ball, but overall I am looking at upside for the price this week. Kyler Murray can put together the rushing numbers in addition to strong numbers against a bottom third pass defense. Tampa ranks 26th against the pass, and have allowed the 4th most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks (22.0). The wild part of the Buccaneers numbers allowed is the fact they have allowed, Daniel Jones, Teddy Bridgewater, Ryan Tannehill, and Kyle Allen all to have productive multi-score games. Murray should be no different, and at $7,700 this is a solid price for a quarterback that could finish top three in scoring.
Saquon Barkley – $8,600
GPP Projection: 24.5
Christian McCaffrey has been the guy to fade at your own risk, and that will be the case again this week. However if you want to build a more balanced lineup or are looking for a spin off, Saquon Barkley isn’t typically a name that you spin off for lower ownership. The Jets have been about league average in terms of fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs, and Barkley is fairly game script proof, but this is a game where the Giants should be able to control things a bit. Since returning from injury, Barkley has 21, 27, and 20 touches.
David Montgomery – $6,400
GPP Projection: 20.8
The Detroit Lions have allowed 19, 26, 20, and 24 fantasy point games to opposing running backs over the last four weeks. They are allowing 26.4 points per game this season, which is about eight more than the season average. Montgomery has seen 31, and 17 touches since his Week 7 game where he had just four touches. At $6,400, I am buying into another strong game from Montgomery, where he can really pay off his price tag. He offers up value and 20+ fantasy point upside.
Robert Woods – $6,900
GPP Projection: 19.2
The Steelers haven’t exactly faced stiff competition when it comes to wide receivers and passing games this season, but are still allowing the 13th most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers. Robert Woods has dropped below $7,000, and is another bargain buy for upside. Woods has averaged 7.5 targets per game, and has been a bit volatile in that department. Brandin Cooks is out, but that won’t change things too much as Josh Reynolds has been trusted by Goff. The Rams are throwing at a top five rate in the league, and I have a feeling they might get overlooked.
Christian Kirk – $5,700
GPP Projection: 15.3
Both the Arizona wide receivers are extremely cheap, and Larry Fitzgerald will likely take the higher ownership. This is overall a cheap stack that fits in with the high priced Tampa wideouts for a game stack. Christian Kirk has seen three out of six games with over ten targets, and has yet to find the end zone yet. This should be the week as the Bucs have allowed 12 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this seaosn, and overall the most fantasy points per game.
Travis Kelce – $6,700
GPP Projection: 16.5
Tennessee has faced just a few respectable tight ends this season, and of those games we have seen them produce. While it may not look like a great matchup, Travis Kelce is in a great spot. He is averaging 8.2 targets per game, and Patrick Mahomes is back practicing this week. He has one week below eight targets, and is below $7,000. The lack of touchdown production is likely the reason why. You can easily fit Kelce into lineups this week, and it is a rather lackluster player pool for the position.
Kansas City Chiefs – $3,700
GPP Projection: 13.4
I’m going back to the well here with another defense against the Titans. Carolina paid off their price tag nicely this last week, and the Chiefs are even cheaper. The Titans have allowed the most sacks per game this season, and Ryan Tannehill looked quite shaky with the interceptions last week. Tennessee has allowed three double-digit fantasy point finishes to opposing defenses, and the sacks allowed always give opponents a decent floor. Kansas City ranks 7th in sacks and should be able to capitalize here.