There are a few scoring differences to be aware of if you are playing on FanDuel from a site like DraftKings. This is universal, but interceptions are just -1 in scoring and not -2 which seems to be the standard in season long leagues. FanDuel is a .5 per reception scoring league, so that does play a factor into building lineups. Tarik Cohen won’t have as much weight compared to PPR sites. There are also no yardage bonuses for crossing over a specific threshold. Now that you are caught up, it is time to look at some upside plays for the Week 11 Main Slate.
Josh Allen – $7,800
GPP Projection: 24.1
There are a lot of upside quarterbacks this week, starting with Lamar Jackson against Houston and Dak Prescott against Detroit. Josh Allen will be overlooked, and has strong upside against this Miami defense. Allen has the rushing potential where he can hit 23+ FD points if he can put it together with a strong passing day. Allen has torched Miami in his career, putting up 21, 41, and 30 FD point games against them. The Dolphins have allowed the 9th most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks this season. They rank 32nd in DVOA against the pass. Allen can be used as a solo option without a stacking partner and put up 25+ in this spot without breaking the bank.
Leonard Fournette – $7,200
GPP Projection: 20.9
Indy’s run defense is overrated in terms of a fantasy standpoint. Because they rank 27th in DVOA against the run, but are allowing the 7th fewest fantasy points per game to running backs. I mean they have played some rather weak backs this season and have been able to control some games. Leonard Fournette has a depressed price on FanDuel due to the lack of touchdowns this season. However he is averaging 92.3 rushing yards per game and 15.2 fantasy points per game. Fournette is going to put it together at some point, and the Colts have been vulnerable over the last few weeks.
Tevin Coleman – $6,700
GPP Projection: 18.6
Tevin Coleman hasn’t had a lot of touches in comparison to weeks he came back from injury. Matt Breida is going to miss this week, and Raheem Mostert will get work, but Coleman should see 15+ touches against a bad Arizona defense. They rank 19th against the run, and have allowed the 7th most fantasy points per game over the last five weeks. This is a favorable game script for San Francisco at home, and many should go right down to Brian Hill and plug in a top back. Coleman should be overlooked after poor weeks and a deeper value back.
Mike Evans – $8,200
GPP Projection: 21.1
The Saints defense has been strong, and Mike Evans had a three target week against them in the first meeting where he did not record a single fantasy point. Here is hoping that turns people off of him. Evans has had monster games this season, and has this 25+ fantasy point upside. In a potential shootout game Evans is someone to keep in mind for building tournament lineups. Evans has averaged 9.9 targets per game and is seeing 25% of the team targets this season.
Curtis Samuel – $6,300
GPP Projection: 17.1
Curtis Samuel is seeing 7.6 targets per game this season, and with Kyle Allen under center, both him and DJ Moore have had some solid fantasy value. Both are excellent plays this week going up Atlanta. The Falcons have allowed the 6th most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers this season, and 31st in DVOA against the pass. Samuel has three touchdowns in the last four weeks, but hasn’t had the efficiency to get the yards to go with it. At $6,400 he has 20+ upside which could pay off huge as a WR3.
Darren Waller – $6,700
GPP Projection: 16.3
Darren Waller has been quiet of late, and hasn’t surpassed ten fantasy points in the last three weeks. Waller has flashed big upside at times this season, but has also been more so of a PPR guy, which doesn’t fly on FD. Over the last five weeks the Bengals are allowing the 9th most fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends. Overall Cincinnati hasn’t seen a ton of heavily used or top tight ends. When they have Mark Andrews put up two successful games, and that is about it. He is the only tight end to see over five targets against this Bengals team, twice. He has averaged 7.2 targets per game.
Minnesota Vikings – $4,700
GPP Projection: 13.8
The Vikings get Denver at home, who have the lowest implied total on the slate (15). Against poorer offenses, Minnesota has had solid games. The Broncos are allowing the 10th most fantasy points per game to opposing defenses this season. Denver has allowed 15 sacks over the last three weeks, nine to the Chiefs. Minnesota is never a heavily used DFS defense, so ownership will be on your side.