The weekly NFL FanDuel Cheatsheet can be downloaded for free by clicking the green excel picture. It’ll bring you the top cash picks, tournament options, stacks, and best values. Also, be sure to check out our DFS Projections and Rankings to help cover other slates and to further the decision-making process for those lineups. Look for the Cheatsheet each Wednesday as it will cover the upcoming main slate, which is the 1 PM and 4 PM games on FanDuel.
Downloadable Week 16 FanDuel Cheat Sheet
With only ten games this week, the player pool is a bit more narrowed down this week. Quarterback is one of those positions that I will likely be paying up and leaving the cheaper options alone. There is a ton of value on this slate and with no real high-priced running backs, fitting in a top-end WR and a top-end QB should be no problem. Mahomes is in a great spot against the Falcons, who have allowed 23 FD points per game to quarterbacks this season. I like him a bit more than Jackson this week, even with the price difference. Jackson is a strong play still just given the rushing upside, but I really like Deshaun Watson and Jalen Hurts as well. I have a feeling Watson is going to get overlooked because of the recent success of Hurts and then Jackson and Mahomes being right there. If you want to differ from the field you can look cheaper with Jared Goff and Mitchell Trubisky in good spots. They aren’t as safe but give you a discount and both the Seahawks and Jaguars have allowed over 20 FD points per game to quarterbacks this season.
Nick Chubb is the most expensive back this week and is a solid play if you have the cash but he isn’t a must-play. I like a red-hot David Montgomery going up against a Jaguars defense allowing 23 FD points per game to running backs. Montgomery has a heavy workload and has been on a tear. Miles Sanders will face Dallas, who was just gashed by the 49ers running backs and have struggled against the run all season. Sanders had a heavy workload and is solid exposure to the Eagles offense that has a 26.25 implied total. With the Browns wide receivers taking a hit on the covid list, I would expect Kareem Hunt to get a lot of work in the passing game, he is a sneaky play at $7,200. Getting a bit cheaper, David Johnson faces a mediocre Bengals defense at $6,700 and had a heavy workload with Duke Johnson out last week. That will be the case again. Melvin Gordon without Phillip Lindsay is popping up on my radar this week. He is only $6,400 and a nice pivot off what could be a chalky Le’Veon Bell.
I will certainly be trying to get exposure to a few of the high-priced options and it isn’t hard to do this week. Tyreek Hill has had some limited practices this week out of precaution but should be fine against the Falcons secondary that we have targeted all year long. He is my WR1 on this slate and by a wide margin. On the opposite side of that game, Calvin Ridley has been red hot with Julio Jones out and while the Chiefs secondary is a good one, volume and game flow should be there for Ridley to crush. Allen Robinson and Robert Woods are in good spots this week, both the Jaguars and Seahawks have allowed 26 FD points per game to wide receivers this season. Diontae Johnson and Amari Cooper in the $6,000s are two guys I like quite a bit. Johnson continues to be a volume-hog and the Colts secondary has been exploitable. Keke Coutee remains cheap at $6,100 and both the Bengals, Tee Higgins and AJ Green I don’t mind this week. There will be Tyler Boyd and the Texans have allowed 1.43 receiving touchdowns per game.
The $8,800 price tag on Travis Kelce is a big one but the Falcons are a bottom-five team against tight ends and the Chiefs offense will have a field day. Even with the high price tag he grades out as still a value compared to the other names at the position. After that, I would look at Mark Andrews and Logan Thomas. Both see strong targets in their offenses and it is not a bad matchup for either one, especially Thomas as the Panthers are bottom-ten against tight ends this season. Austin Hooper should see a good amount of targets this week and is my favorite value at $5,100. As mentioned above the Browns wide receivers are limited, so we should see a major shift in targets to tight ends and running backs.
Chicago and Cleveland make the most sense this week as high-priced options. They face dreadful offenses and are huge favorites. Both are top-three in projections this week and still hold solid value despite the high price tags. Washington is on the higher-priced side at $4,800 and are a strong GPP pivot away from those options. There isn’t really a cheap option I love this week, although Kansas City has some upside against the Falcons. Matt Ryan can have some multi-pick games and their offensive line has been spotty all year. $4,100 is a nice bargain and part of the Chiefs onslaught this week.