There are a few scoring differences to be aware of if you are playing on FanDuel from a site like DraftKings. This is universal, but interceptions are just -1 in scoring and not -2 which seems to be the standard in season long leagues. FanDuel is a .5 per reception scoring league, so that does play a factor into building lineups. Tarik Cohen won’t have as much weight compared to PPR sites. There are also no yardage bonuses for crossing over a specific threshold. Now that you are caught up, it is time to look at some contrarian plays for the Week 3Main Slate.
Josh Allen – $7,500
GPP Projection: 21.8
The Bengals currently rank 29th against the pass this season, and have allowed 23.1 fantasy points per game. Josh Allen is sitting at a cool $7,500 this week on FanDuel, which is a strong price tag for someone with big rushing upside. If we date back to last season, the Bengals allowed the second most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. They also allowed the 5th most rushing yards to quarterback. Allen has a solid floor I’d even play in cash games, but tournaments he has that big potential. He has a rushing touchdown in each game, and is in the top ten for quarterback scoring this season.
Devonta Freeman – $6,200
GPP Projection: 17.1
It has been a dreadful start to the season for Devonta Freeman, but it has also been a dreadful start for the Colts rush defense. They have allowed a total of four touchdowns to running backs in the first two games, and over 300 all-purpose yards. As for fantasy points, they are allowing 28.3 per game to opposing backs. Freeman is worth a look at $6,200, and he offers up some value as well. Freeman has seen four targets in each game, but 19 total rushing attempts in the first two weeks. Abandoning the run has been more of a game flow problem in the first game, but he just struggled against an Eagles rush defense that is well above average.
David Johnson – $7,000
GPP Projection: 19.2
Coming off a down week, this is a good bounce back spot for David Johnson, especially at these price tags. He struggled in the game against Baltimore, which was easy to predict. In Week 1 he had 24 touches, and produced over 100 all-purpose yards and a touchdown. Carolina ranks 23rd against the run this season, and have allowed 22.1 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs. Johnson is a full on workhorse and an excellent tournament value. This game projects well on both sides, especially at the pace they are playing.
Kenny Golladay – $7,000
GPP Projection: 15.6
In 2018 the Eagles allowed the 5th most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers. So far this season they are allowing the second most. They were torched by Atlanta, but also Case Keenum and the Washington passing game put up some numbers. This secondary had major issues last season, and with no adjustments that looks to have carried over. Kenny Golladay is already having a strong year. He has two touchdowns, 12 catches, and 159 receiving yards. The other positive is that he has 19 targets.
Mike Evans – $7,100
GPP Projection: 17.8
A struggling start will keep Mike Evans ownership in check a bit, although the great matchup will have people on notice. His price drop is also something to note, as $7,100 is incredibly low for someone of his caliber. The Giants secondary and defense overall looks horrendous. Receivers have totaled a 32-550-3 line against this secondary so far this season. Overall the Giants rank 31st against the pass, and the Tampa Bay offense is in a terrific spot. The Buccaneers have the fourth highest implied total of the weekend.
Evan Engram – $6,400
GPP Projection: 14.9
The Giants pass-catching options get a bump with Daniel Jones for me, as the corpse of Eli Manning finally hit the bench. Tampa Bay’s defense has been decent this season, but tight ends have been able to get free. Evan Engram is in a much better spot compared to last week against Buffalo. Engram is crushing in targets, and has 22 through two weeks. Tampa Bay allowed the 10th most fantasy points per game in 2018. Through the first two weeks, TE1s have had 19 targets against this Bucs defense. Olsen broke out for a 6-110-0 line.
Buffalo Bills – $4,600
GPP Projection: 11.2
The Bengals will walk into Buffalo with limited options and a bad offensive line. This is a tough place to play and it is the home opener for a 2-0 Bills team. The Bengals have allowed nine sacks in the first two weeks, and have turned the ball over four times. Buffalo has a very good secondary, which will limit the Bengals passing game. It is all they have at the moment as the rushing attack has been stifled through two weeks. I like Buffalo as a nice pivot away from the chalkier defenses in tournaments.