Week 4 has seven games with a total of 50 or higher on the main slate, and features most of the top quarterbacks. There are some injuries to watch out for as Michael Thomas and DeAndre Hopkins remain questionable for this weekend. Chris Carson is likely to suit up, but Terry McLaurin hit the injury report this week and is now questionable. There are a few plays I like regardless of ownership as the Seattle offense continues to light it up, but Alvin Kamara is the other one who is just a solid lock against the Lions run defense. I will focus on mostly mid-range plays this week that I like to really hit.
Deshaun Watson – $7,800 – Projection: 23.6
It has been a tough start for Deshaun Watson and the Houston Texans. This is the first time they have a matchup I want to target. Watson will get a weak Vikings secondary that is also battling injuries. They have allowed 278 yards through the air so far this season. Houston has an implied total of 28.75 and for this price tag, Watson can easily match some of the top options if he hits his ceiling.
Joe Burrow – $7,400 – Projection: 20.9
I am a big fan of the Bengals stack this week because it is so cheap and it is a great spot. Burrow projects for over 20 FD points and the Jaguars have been allowing that to quarterbacks this season. Through three games they have allowed 2.12 passing touchdowns per game and 246 yards per game. This is a great spot for Burrow to go off and he has looked great through three weeks despite an irregular offseason and a struggling offensive line.
Kenyan Drake – $7,000 – Projection: 18.6
The DeAndre Hopkins news is interesting because he has been the highest usage player outside of Kyler Murray’s rushing addition as well. Drake has had some issues with the touchdown chances because Murray is used so often in the red zone. I do like his odds of a touchdown this week with the Panthers allowing 2.2 touchdowns per game to opposing running backs.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire – $7,400 – Projection: 15.7
If you want to truly get different from an ownership perspective, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is that guy. Dalvin Cook, Ezekiel Elliott, and Alvin Kamara are the clear cut top options. The Patriots rank 19th in DVOA against the run. They have allowed over 130 yards per game to opposing backs this season but haven’t given up touchdowns so the fantasy points against looking lower.
AJ Green – $5,700 – Projection: 9.7
AJ Green has been very quiet so far this season, but the targets are extremely loud. There are going to be some big games for the rest of the season. In a matchup against a Jaguars secondary that is beatable, $5,700 is way too cheap. And overall this stack with Tyler Boyd included is very cheap. It is a great matchup and Green has looked good. The timing has been off but I will rather be on that first hit compared to waiting till it passes.
Stefon Diggs – $7,000 – Projection: 15.3
Don’t forget about Stefon Diggs out on the west coast this week. Diggs is only $7,000 and has been a top ten fantasy receiver this season. He gets a bottom half secondary that I want to continue to target. Buffalo has a four touchdown implied total and I don’t know if the ownership will be there given it is a 4PM game on a slate with so many options.
DeVante Parker – $6,500 – Projection: 16.1
This game has big-time shootout potential and we know about the Seattle options already. Going back to last season and over the last eight games, Parker has a 21.5 FD point ceiling in that span. Seattle has allowed 321 passing yards to wide receivers this season and 1.4 passing touchdowns. This is a great spot.
Will Fuller – $6,100 – Projection: 12.6
I am fully ready for disappointment as Will Fuller pops a hamstring mid-game. But he is in too good of a spot to not get some exposure. The Vikings have allowed 200 yards per game to receivers this season and 1.54 touchdowns per game. They are allowing a ton of fantasy points and Fuller is the lead target-man for Houston.
Darren Waller – $6,700 – Projection: 13.1
Darren Waller gets a sneaky good matchup against the Bills, who are allowing 70.4 yards per game to opposing tight ends. Derek Carr continues to look at Waller at a regular basis and should this week with the Bills shutdown corners locking down the wideouts, who are already injured.